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Panel data approach vs synthetic control method

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  • Wan, Shui-Ki
  • Xie, Yimeng
  • Hsiao, Cheng

Abstract

We explore the pros and cons of two counterfactual analysis methodologies — the panel data approach (PDA) and the synthetic control method (SCM) through a discussion of the differences in their underlying assumptions and a series of simulations.

Suggested Citation

  • Wan, Shui-Ki & Xie, Yimeng & Hsiao, Cheng, 2018. "Panel data approach vs synthetic control method," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 121-123.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:164:y:2018:i:c:p:121-123
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2018.01.019
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Cheng Hsiao & H. Steve Ching & Shui Ki Wan, 2012. "A Panel Data Approach For Program Evaluation: Measuring The Benefits Of Political And Economic Integration Of Hong Kong With Mainland China," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(5), pages 705-740, August.
    2. James J. Heckman & Vytlacil, Edward J., 2007. "Econometric Evaluation of Social Programs, Part I: Causal Models, Structural Models and Econometric Policy Evaluation," Handbook of Econometrics, in: J.J. Heckman & E.E. Leamer (ed.), Handbook of Econometrics, edition 1, volume 6, chapter 70, Elsevier.
    3. Li, Kathleen T. & Bell, David R., 2017. "Estimation of average treatment effects with panel data: Asymptotic theory and implementation," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 197(1), pages 65-75.
    4. Abadie, Alberto & Diamond, Alexis & Hainmueller, Jens, 2010. "Synthetic Control Methods for Comparative Case Studies: Estimating the Effect of California’s Tobacco Control Program," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 105(490), pages 493-505.
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    1. Haoran Zhang & Rongxia Zhang & Guomin Li & Wei Li & Yongrok Choi, 2020. "Has China’s Emission Trading System Achieved the Development of a Low-Carbon Economy in High-Emission Industrial Subsectors?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-20, July.
    2. Echevarría, Cruz A. & Hasancebi, Serhat & García-Enríquez, Javier, 2022. "Economic Effects of Macao’s Integration with Mainland China: A Causal Inference Study," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, vol. 37(2), pages 179-215.
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    6. Povilas Lastauskas & Julius Stakėnas, 2022. "Dancing Alone or Together: The Dynamic Effects of Independent and Common Monetary Policies," Advances in Econometrics, in: Essays in Honor of M. Hashem Pesaran: Prediction and Macro Modeling, volume 43, pages 217-241, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
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    9. Hu, Yuan & Kuhn, Lena & Zheng, Wenxue, 2021. "Promote or Inhibit？the Effects of Forest Carbon Sinks Projects on Agricultural Development: Evidence from Sichuan, China," 2021 Conference, August 17-31, 2021, Virtual 315381, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    10. Gharehgozli, Orkideh, 2021. "An empirical comparison between a regression framework and the Synthetic Control Method," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 70-81.
    11. Zeqin Liu & Zongwu Cai & Ying Fang & Ming Lin, 2019. "Statistical Analysis and Evaluation of Macroeconomic Policies: A Selective Review," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 201904, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Mar 2019.
    12. Eli Ben-Michael & Avi Feller & Jesse Rothstein, 2021. "The Augmented Synthetic Control Method," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 116(536), pages 1789-1803, October.
    13. Mingfeng Zhan & Zongwu Cai & Ying Fang & Ming Lin, 2020. "Covariate Balance Weighting Methods in Estimating Treatment Effects: An Empirical Comparison," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 202020, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Dec 2020.
    14. Zongwu Cai & Ying Fang & Ming Lin & Zixuan Wu, 2023. "A Quasi Synthetic Control Method for Nonlinear Models With High-Dimensional Covariates," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 202305, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Aug 2023.
    15. Shui Ki Wan & Cheng Hsiao & Qiankun Zhou, 2021. "Can a time-varying structure provide a more robust panel construction of counterfactuals-straitjacket or straitjackets?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(1), pages 113-129, January.
    16. Shi, Zhentao & Huang, Jingyi, 2023. "Forward-selected panel data approach for program evaluation," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 234(2), pages 512-535.
    17. Cheng Hsiao & Qiankun Zhou, 2018. "Panel Parametric, Semi-parametric and Nonparametric Construction of Counterfactuals - California Tobacco Control Revisited," Departmental Working Papers 2018-02, Department of Economics, Louisiana State University.
    18. Du, Zaichao & Yin, Hua & Zhang, Lin, 2022. "Foreign buyer taxes and house prices in Canada: A tale of two cities," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Counterfactual analysis; Panel data approach; Synthetic control;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C3 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables
    • C5 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling

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