IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/chsofr/v150y2021ics0960077921003623.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Modeling, analysis and prediction of new variants of covid-19 and dengue co-infection on complex network

Author

Listed:
  • Rehman, Attiq ul
  • Singh, Ram
  • Agarwal, Praveen

Abstract

Recently, four new strains of SARS-COV-2 were reported in different countries which are mutants and considered as 70% more dangerous than the existing covid-19 virus. In this paper, hybrid mathematical models of new strains and co-infection in Caputo, Caputo-Fabrizio, and Atangana-Baleanu are presented. The idea behind this co-infection modeling is that, as per medical reports, both dengue and covid-19 have similar symptoms at the early stages. Our aim is to evaluate and predict the transmission dynamics of both deadly viruses. The qualitative study via stability analysis is discussed at equilibria and reproduction number R0 is computed. For the numerical purpose, Adams-Bashforth-Moulton and Newton methods are employed to obtain the approximate solutions of the proposed model. Sensitivity analysis is carried out to assessed the effects of various biological parameters and rates of transmission on the dynamics of both viruses. We also compared our results with some reported data against infected, recovered, and death cases.

Suggested Citation

  • Rehman, Attiq ul & Singh, Ram & Agarwal, Praveen, 2021. "Modeling, analysis and prediction of new variants of covid-19 and dengue co-infection on complex network," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:chsofr:v:150:y:2021:i:c:s0960077921003623
    DOI: 10.1016/j.chaos.2021.111008
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960077921003623
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.chaos.2021.111008?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Agarwal, Praveen & Singh, Ram & Rehman, Attiq ul, 2021. "Numerical solution of hybrid mathematical model of dengue transmission with relapse and memory via Adam–Bashforth–Moulton predictor-corrector scheme," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    2. Sajjadi, Samaneh Sadat & Baleanu, Dumitru & Jajarmi, Amin & Pirouz, Hassan Mohammadi, 2020. "A new adaptive synchronization and hyperchaos control of a biological snap oscillator," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    3. Agarwal, Praveen & Singh, Ram, 2020. "Modelling of transmission dynamics of Nipah virus (Niv): A fractional order Approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 547(C).
    4. Abdo, Mohammed S. & Shah, Kamal & Wahash, Hanan A. & Panchal, Satish K., 2020. "On a comprehensive model of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) under Mittag-Leffler derivative," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    5. Hamed Al-Sulami & Moustafa El-Shahed & Juan J. Nieto & Wafa Shammakh, 2014. "On Fractional Order Dengue Epidemic Model," Mathematical Problems in Engineering, Hindawi, vol. 2014, pages 1-6, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Rehman, Attiq ul & Singh, Ram & Singh, Jagdev, 2022. "Mathematical analysis of multi-compartmental malaria transmission model with reinfection," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    2. Ahmed M. Elaiw & Abdulsalam S. Shflot & Aatef D. Hobiny & Shaban A. Aly, 2023. "Global Dynamics of an HTLV-I and SARS-CoV-2 Co-Infection Model with Diffusion," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-33, January.
    3. Omame, Andrew & Abbas, Mujahid, 2023. "Modeling SARS-CoV-2 and HBV co-dynamics with optimal control," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 615(C).
    4. Nie, Yanyi & Zhong, Xiaoni & Lin, Tao & Wang, Wei, 2022. "Homophily in competing behavior spreading among the heterogeneous population with higher-order interactions," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 432(C).
    5. Ahmed M. Elaiw & Abdulsalam S. Shflot & Aatef D. Hobiny, 2022. "Global Stability of Delayed SARS-CoV-2 and HTLV-I Coinfection Models within a Host," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(24), pages 1-35, December.
    6. Ahmed M. Elaiw & Raghad S. Alsulami & Aatef D. Hobiny, 2022. "Modeling and Stability Analysis of Within-Host IAV/SARS-CoV-2 Coinfection with Antibody Immunity," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(22), pages 1-36, November.
    7. Du, Yuxian & Lin, Xi & Pan, Ye & Chen, Zhaoxin & Xia, Huan & Luo, Qian, 2023. "Identifying influential airports in airline network based on failure risk factors with TOPSIS," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).
    8. Omame, A. & Abbas, M. & Onyenegecha, C.P., 2021. "A fractional-order model for COVID-19 and tuberculosis co-infection using Atangana–Baleanu derivative," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 153(P1).
    9. Li, WenYao & Xue, Xiaoyu & Pan, Liming & Lin, Tao & Wang, Wei, 2022. "Competing spreading dynamics in simplicial complex," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 412(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Rehman, Attiq ul & Singh, Ram & Singh, Jagdev, 2022. "Mathematical analysis of multi-compartmental malaria transmission model with reinfection," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    2. Mohammadi, Hakimeh & Kumar, Sunil & Rezapour, Shahram & Etemad, Sina, 2021. "A theoretical study of the Caputo–Fabrizio fractional modeling for hearing loss due to Mumps virus with optimal control," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    3. Batistela, Cristiane M. & Correa, Diego P.F. & Bueno, Átila M & Piqueira, José Roberto C., 2021. "SIRSi compartmental model for COVID-19 pandemic with immunity loss," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    4. Abdullah, & Ahmad, Saeed & Owyed, Saud & Abdel-Aty, Abdel-Haleem & Mahmoud, Emad E. & Shah, Kamal & Alrabaiah, Hussam, 2021. "Mathematical analysis of COVID-19 via new mathematical model," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    5. Tyagi, Swati & Martha, Subash C. & Abbas, Syed & Debbouche, Amar, 2021. "Mathematical modeling and analysis for controlling the spread of infectious diseases," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    6. Karimi Rahjerdi, Bahareh & Ramamoorthy, Ramesh & Nazarimehr, Fahimeh & Rajagopal, Karthikeyan & Jafari, Sajad, 2022. "Indicating the synchronization bifurcation points using the early warning signals in two case studies: Continuous and explosive synchronization," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
    7. Mohamed M. Mousa & Fahad Alsharari, 2021. "A Comparative Numerical Study and Stability Analysis for a Fractional-Order SIR Model of Childhood Diseases," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(22), pages 1-12, November.
    8. Ebrahem A. Algehyne & Musaad S. Aldhabani & Mounirah Areshi & Essam R. El-Zahar & Abdelhalim Ebaid & Hind K. Al-Jeaid, 2023. "A Proposed Application of Fractional Calculus on Time Dilation in Special Theory of Relativity," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(15), pages 1-11, July.
    9. Etemad, Sina & Avci, Ibrahim & Kumar, Pushpendra & Baleanu, Dumitru & Rezapour, Shahram, 2022. "Some novel mathematical analysis on the fractal–fractional model of the AH1N1/09 virus and its generalized Caputo-type version," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 162(C).
    10. Crokidakis, Nuno, 2020. "COVID-19 spreading in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil: Do the policies of social isolation really work?," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    11. Boukhouima, Adnane & Hattaf, Khalid & Lotfi, El Mehdi & Mahrouf, Marouane & Torres, Delfim F.M. & Yousfi, Noura, 2020. "Lyapunov functions for fractional-order systems in biology: Methods and applications," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    12. Ahmed, Najma & Shah, Nehad Ali & Taherifar, Somaye & Zaman, F.D., 2021. "Memory effects and of the killing rate on the tumor cells concentration for a one-dimensional cancer model," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    13. Memon, Zaibunnisa & Qureshi, Sania & Memon, Bisharat Rasool, 2021. "Assessing the role of quarantine and isolation as control strategies for COVID-19 outbreak: A case study," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    14. Batabyal, Saikat, 2021. "COVID-19: Perturbation dynamics resulting chaos to stable with seasonality transmission," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    15. Laila F. Seddek & Abdelhalim Ebaid & Essam R. El-Zahar & Mona D. Aljoufi, 2023. "Exact Solution of Non-Homogeneous Fractional Differential System Containing 2 n Periodic Terms under Physical Conditions," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(15), pages 1-12, July.
    16. Barman, Dipesh & Roy, Jyotirmoy & Alrabaiah, Hussam & Panja, Prabir & Mondal, Sankar Prasad & Alam, Shariful, 2021. "Impact of predator incited fear and prey refuge in a fractional order prey predator model," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    17. Amiri, Pari & Afshari, Hojjat, 2022. "Common fixed point results for multi-valued mappings in complex-valued double controlled metric spaces and their applications to the existence of solution of fractional integral inclusion systems," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    18. Sadatieh, Shahriar & Dehghani, Maryam & Mohammadi, Mohsen & Boostani, Reza, 2021. "Extremum-seeking control of left ventricular assist device to maximize the cardiac output and prevent suction," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    19. Trikha, Pushali & Mahmoud, Emad E. & Jahanzaib, Lone Seth & Matoog, R.T. & Abdel-Aty, Mahmoud, 2021. "Fractional order biological snap oscillator: Analysis and control," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    20. Malki, Zohair & Atlam, El-Sayed & Hassanien, Aboul Ella & Dagnew, Guesh & Elhosseini, Mostafa A. & Gad, Ibrahim, 2020. "Association between weather data and COVID-19 pandemic predicting mortality rate: Machine learning approaches," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:chsofr:v:150:y:2021:i:c:s0960077921003623. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Thayer, Thomas R. (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/chaos-solitons-and-fractals .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.