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A mathematical model to examine the effect of quarantine on the spread of coronavirus

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  • Babaei, A.
  • Ahmadi, M.
  • Jafari, H.
  • Liya, A.

Abstract

In this study, we propose a mathematical model about the spread of novel coronavirus. This model is a system of fractional order differential equations in Caputo’s sense. The aim is to explain the virus transmission and to investigate the impact of quarantine on decreasing the prevalence rate of the virus in the environment. The unique solvability of the presented COVID-19 model is proved. Also, the equilibrium points and the reproduction number of the proposed model are discussed in two cases with and without considering the quarantine factor. Using the Adams-Bashforth-Moulton predictor-corrector method, some numerical simulations are implemented to survey the behavior of the considered model.

Suggested Citation

  • Babaei, A. & Ahmadi, M. & Jafari, H. & Liya, A., 2021. "A mathematical model to examine the effect of quarantine on the spread of coronavirus," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:chsofr:v:142:y:2021:i:c:s0960077920308110
    DOI: 10.1016/j.chaos.2020.110418
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Yuan, Yiran & Li, Ning, 2022. "Optimal control and cost-effectiveness analysis for a COVID-19 model with individual protection awareness," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 603(C).
    2. Prem Kumar, R. & Santra, P.K. & Mahapatra, G.S., 2023. "Global stability and analysing the sensitivity of parameters of a multiple-susceptible population model of SARS-CoV-2 emphasising vaccination drive," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 203(C), pages 741-766.
    3. Çaparoğlu, Ömer Faruk & Ok, Yeşim & Tutam, Mahmut, 2021. "To restrict or not to restrict? Use of artificial neural network to evaluate the effectiveness of mitigation policies: A case study of Turkey," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    4. Khan, Md. Mamun-Ur-Rashid & Arefin, Md. Rajib & Tanimoto, Jun, 2022. "Investigating the trade-off between self-quarantine and forced quarantine provisions to control an epidemic: An evolutionary approach," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 432(C).
    5. Jiraporn Lamwong & Napasool Wongvanich & I-Ming Tang & Puntani Pongsumpun, 2023. "Optimal Control Strategy of a Mathematical Model for the Fifth Wave of COVID-19 Outbreak (Omicron) in Thailand," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-31, December.

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