IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/appene/v381y2025ics0306261924025261.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Prediction of CO2 storage efficiency and its uncertainty using deep-convolutional GANs and pore network modelling

Author

Listed:
  • Zhang, Yi-Fan
  • Qu, Ming-Liang
  • Yang, Jin-Ping
  • Foroughi, Sajjad
  • Niu, Ben
  • Yu, Zi-Tao
  • Gao, Xiang
  • Blunt, Martin J.
  • Lin, Qingyang

Abstract

The overall capacity of CO2 storage is controlled by the morphological and flow characteristics of the pore space. Pore-scale imaging and modelling is widely used to predict storage efficiency, but its industrial application is limited due to time constraints and cost associated with high-resolution imaging techniques and computational resources required for data processing and flow simulations. In this study, a deep convolutional generative adversarial network (DCGAN) approach was introduced using Bentheimer sandstone tomographic images to quantify geological CO2 storage efficiency and its uncertainty. DCGAN was applied to generate an ensemble of realizations of three-dimensional porous media (1000 images with 5123 voxels in this study) and an enlargement factor of 83 in volume compared with the dimensions of the training data (643 voxels) was achieved. Then these images were fed into a network extraction and flow modelling simulator to determine macroscopic properties and their distribution. The average flow and geometric properties of the generated networks matched those of the imaging dataset, with a wider standard deviation and total range, showing that the realizations captured the full range of variability in pore structure. The predicted relative permeability and capillary pressure also matched experimental measurements in the literature. With a maximum capillary pressure of 7.0 kPa (representing initial injection into a storage formation), we found that the residual CO2 saturation is 0.354 ± 0.014. We further explored the minimum number of digital repeats needed to reproduce the statistics of geometric and flow properties from the 1000 cases. Overall, this work proposes a pore-scale simulation strategy coupling with deep learning to predict and assess storage efficiency and its uncertainty which can be used to guide the design of geological CO2 storage systems.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhang, Yi-Fan & Qu, Ming-Liang & Yang, Jin-Ping & Foroughi, Sajjad & Niu, Ben & Yu, Zi-Tao & Gao, Xiang & Blunt, Martin J. & Lin, Qingyang, 2025. "Prediction of CO2 storage efficiency and its uncertainty using deep-convolutional GANs and pore network modelling," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 381(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:381:y:2025:i:c:s0306261924025261
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2024.125142
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306261924025261
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.apenergy.2024.125142?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Niall Mac Dowell & Paul S. Fennell & Nilay Shah & Geoffrey C. Maitland, 2017. "The role of CO2 capture and utilization in mitigating climate change," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 7(4), pages 243-249, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Wang, Qian & Du, Caiyi & Zhang, Xueguang, 2024. "Direct air capture capacity configuration and cost allocation based on sharing mechanism," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 374(C).
    2. Takeshi Tsuji & Masao Sorai & Masashige Shiga & Shigenori Fujikawa & Toyoki Kunitake, 2021. "Geological storage of CO2–N2–O2 mixtures produced by membrane‐based direct air capture (DAC)," Greenhouse Gases: Science and Technology, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 11(4), pages 610-618, August.
    3. Zhang, Yanfang & Gao, Qi & Wei, Jinpeng & Shi, Xunpeng & Zhou, Dequn, 2023. "Can China's energy-consumption permit trading scheme achieve the “Porter” effect? Evidence from an estimated DSGE model," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
    4. Wang, Peng-Tao & Wei, Yi-Ming & Yang, Bo & Li, Jia-Quan & Kang, Jia-Ning & Liu, Lan-Cui & Yu, Bi-Ying & Hou, Yun-Bing & Zhang, Xian, 2020. "Carbon capture and storage in China’s power sector: Optimal planning under the 2 °C constraint," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(C).
    5. Chang, Yuan & Gao, Siqi & Ma, Qian & Wei, Ying & Li, Guoping, 2024. "Techno-economic analysis of carbon capture and utilization technologies and implications for China," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 199(C).
    6. Xinyi Sun & Xiaowei Mu & Wei Zheng & Lei Wang & Sixie Yang & Chuanchao Sheng & Hui Pan & Wei Li & Cheng-Hui Li & Ping He & Haoshen Zhou, 2023. "Binuclear Cu complex catalysis enabling Li–CO2 battery with a high discharge voltage above 3.0 V," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-9, December.
    7. He, Song & Zheng, Yawen & Zeng, Xuelan & Wang, Junyao & Gao, Lifan & Yang, Dongtai, 2024. "A novel Ca-Ni looping with carbonation heat thermochemical regeneration method for post-combustion CO2 capture: System integration, energy-saving mechanism, and performance sensitivity analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 312(C).
    8. Andrew William Ruttinger & Miyuru Kannangara & Jalil Shadbahr & Phil De Luna & Farid Bensebaa, 2021. "How CO 2 -to-Diesel Technology Could Help Reach Net-Zero Emissions Targets: A Canadian Case Study," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-21, October.
    9. Chi Zhou & Chaochao Lv & Teng Miao & Xufa Ma & Chengxing Xia, 2023. "Interactive Effects of Rising Temperature, Elevated CO 2 and Herbivory on the Growth and Stoichiometry of a Submerged Macrophyte Vallisneria natans," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-15, January.
    10. Cheng Cao & Hejuan Liu & Zhengmeng Hou & Faisal Mehmood & Jianxing Liao & Wentao Feng, 2020. "A Review of CO 2 Storage in View of Safety and Cost-Effectiveness," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-45, January.
    11. Quarton, Christopher J. & Samsatli, Sheila, 2020. "The value of hydrogen and carbon capture, storage and utilisation in decarbonising energy: Insights from integrated value chain optimisation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 257(C).
    12. Asadi, Javad & Kazempoor, Pejman, 2024. "Economic and operational assessment of solar-assisted hybrid carbon capture system for combined cycle power plants," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 303(C).
    13. Layritz, Lucia S. & Dolganova, Iulia & Finkbeiner, Matthias & Luderer, Gunnar & Penteado, Alberto T. & Ueckerdt, Falko & Repke, Jens-Uwe, 2021. "The potential of direct steam cracker electrification and carbon capture & utilization via oxidative coupling of methane as decarbonization strategies for ethylene production," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 296(C).
    14. Antenucci, Andrea & Sansavini, Giovanni, 2019. "Extensive CO2 recycling in power systems via Power-to-Gas and network storage," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 33-43.
    15. Xing Li & Xunhua Zhao & Lingyu Zhang & Anmol Mathur & Yu Xu & Zhiwei Fang & Luo Gu & Yuanyue Liu & Yayuan Liu, 2024. "Redox-tunable isoindigos for electrochemically mediated carbon capture," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-13, December.
    16. Pagar, Eti & Burla, Sai Kiran & Kumar, Vimal & Veluswamy, Hari Prakash, 2024. "Influence of amino acids on gas hydrate formation and dissociation kinetics using flue gas (CO2 + N2 mixture) in silica sand under saline/non-saline conditions for CO2 sequestration," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 367(C).
    17. Adrian Ramirez & Xuan Gong & Mustafa Caglayan & Stefan-Adrian F. Nastase & Edy Abou-Hamad & Lieven Gevers & Luigi Cavallo & Abhishek Dutta Chowdhury & Jorge Gascon, 2021. "Selectivity descriptors for the direct hydrogenation of CO2 to hydrocarbons during zeolite-mediated bifunctional catalysis," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-13, December.
    18. Natália R. Galina & Gretta L. A. F. Arce & Mercedes Maroto-Valer & Ivonete Ávila, 2023. "Experimental Study on Mineral Dissolution and Carbonation Efficiency Applied to pH-Swing Mineral Carbonation for Improved CO 2 Sequestration," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(5), pages 1-19, March.
    19. Liu, Jiangfeng & Zhang, Qi & Li, Hailong & Chen, Siyuan & Teng, Fei, 2022. "Investment decision on carbon capture and utilization (CCU) technologies—A real option model based on technology learning effect," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 322(C).
    20. Simon P. Philbin, 2020. "Critical Analysis and Evaluation of the Technology Pathways for Carbon Capture and Utilization," Clean Technol., MDPI, vol. 2(4), pages 1-21, December.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:381:y:2025:i:c:s0306261924025261. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/405891/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.