IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/appene/v212y2018icp746-758.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Use of weather forecast for increasing the self-consumption rate of home solar systems: An Italian case study

Author

Listed:
  • Petrollese, Mario
  • Cau, Giorgio
  • Cocco, Daniele

Abstract

With the aim of increasing the self-consumption rate of grid-connected Photovoltaic (PV) home systems, two main options can be implemented: the inclusion of an energy storage system, in particular a battery bank, and the adoption of a Demand Side Management (DSM) strategy. However, both the reshaping of the load consumption curve with the displacement of deferrable loads and the optimal management of the battery bank require estimation of the daily PV generation profile. The assessment of the on-site energy production can be carried out based on weather forecast data. However, the latter are characterized by uncertainty, which may affect the achievable self-consumption rate.

Suggested Citation

  • Petrollese, Mario & Cau, Giorgio & Cocco, Daniele, 2018. "Use of weather forecast for increasing the self-consumption rate of home solar systems: An Italian case study," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 212(C), pages 746-758.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:212:y:2018:i:c:p:746-758
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2017.12.075
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306261917317907
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.apenergy.2017.12.075?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Merei, Ghada & Moshövel, Janina & Magnor, Dirk & Sauer, Dirk Uwe, 2016. "Optimization of self-consumption and techno-economic analysis of PV-battery systems in commercial applications," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 168(C), pages 171-178.
    2. Petersen, Steffen & Bundgaard, Katrine Wieck, 2014. "The effect of weather forecast uncertainty on a predictive control concept for building systems operation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 311-321.
    3. Hoppmann, Joern & Volland, Jonas & Schmidt, Tobias S. & Hoffmann, Volker H., 2014. "The economic viability of battery storage for residential solar photovoltaic systems – A review and a simulation model," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 1101-1118.
    4. Shivashankar, S. & Mekhilef, Saad & Mokhlis, Hazlie & Karimi, M., 2016. "Mitigating methods of power fluctuation of photovoltaic (PV) sources – A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 1170-1184.
    5. Lund, Peter D. & Lindgren, Juuso & Mikkola, Jani & Salpakari, Jyri, 2015. "Review of energy system flexibility measures to enable high levels of variable renewable electricity," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 785-807.
    6. Wang, Xiaonan & Palazoglu, Ahmet & El-Farra, Nael H., 2015. "Operational optimization and demand response of hybrid renewable energy systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 143(C), pages 324-335.
    7. Battke, Benedikt & Schmidt, Tobias S. & Grosspietsch, David & Hoffmann, Volker H., 2013. "A review and probabilistic model of lifecycle costs of stationary batteries in multiple applications," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 240-250.
    8. de Oliveira e Silva, Guilherme & Hendrick, Patrick, 2016. "Lead–acid batteries coupled with photovoltaics for increased electricity self-sufficiency in households," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 856-867.
    9. Nyholm, Emil & Goop, Joel & Odenberger, Mikael & Johnsson, Filip, 2016. "Solar photovoltaic-battery systems in Swedish households – Self-consumption and self-sufficiency," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 148-159.
    10. Masa-Bote, D. & Castillo-Cagigal, M. & Matallanas, E. & Caamaño-Martín, E. & Gutiérrez, A. & Monasterio-Huelín, F. & Jiménez-Leube, J., 2014. "Improving photovoltaics grid integration through short time forecasting and self-consumption," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 103-113.
    11. Luthander, Rasmus & Widén, Joakim & Nilsson, Daniel & Palm, Jenny, 2015. "Photovoltaic self-consumption in buildings: A review," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 80-94.
    12. Brusco, Giovanni & Burgio, Alessandro & Menniti, Daniele & Pinnarelli, Anna & Sorrentino, Nicola, 2016. "The economic viability of a feed-in tariff scheme that solely rewards self-consumption to promote the use of integrated photovoltaic battery systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 1075-1085.
    13. Luthander, Rasmus & Widén, Joakim & Munkhammar, Joakim & Lingfors, David, 2016. "Self-consumption enhancement and peak shaving of residential photovoltaics using storage and curtailment," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 221-231.
    14. Linssen, Jochen & Stenzel, Peter & Fleer, Johannes, 2017. "Techno-economic analysis of photovoltaic battery systems and the influence of different consumer load profiles," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 185(P2), pages 2019-2025.
    15. Quoilin, Sylvain & Kavvadias, Konstantinos & Mercier, Arnaud & Pappone, Irene & Zucker, Andreas, 2016. "Quantifying self-consumption linked to solar home battery systems: Statistical analysis and economic assessment," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 182(C), pages 58-67.
    16. Drysdale, Brian & Wu, Jianzhong & Jenkins, Nick, 2015. "Flexible demand in the GB domestic electricity sector in 2030," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 281-290.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Joseph Oyekale & Mario Petrollese & Vittorio Tola & Giorgio Cau, 2020. "Impacts of Renewable Energy Resources on Effectiveness of Grid-Integrated Systems: Succinct Review of Current Challenges and Potential Solution Strategies," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-48, September.
    2. Qiu, Yueming (Lucy) & Wang, Yi David & Xing, Bo, 2021. "Grid impact of non-residential distributed solar energy and reduced air emissions: Empirical evidence from individual-consumer-level smart meter data," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 290(C).
    3. Nikolaos Kolokas & Dimosthenis Ioannidis & Dimitrios Tzovaras, 2021. "Multi-Step Energy Demand and Generation Forecasting with Confidence Used for Specification-Free Aggregate Demand Optimization," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-36, May.
    4. Ma, Tao & Zhang, Yijie & Gu, Wenbo & Xiao, Gang & Yang, Hongxing & Wang, Shuxiao, 2022. "Strategy comparison and techno-economic evaluation of a grid-connected photovoltaic-battery system," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 197(C), pages 1049-1060.
    5. Azuatalam, Donald & Paridari, Kaveh & Ma, Yiju & Förstl, Markus & Chapman, Archie C. & Verbič, Gregor, 2019. "Energy management of small-scale PV-battery systems: A systematic review considering practical implementation, computational requirements, quality of input data and battery degradation," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 555-570.
    6. Amir Ali Safaei Pirooz & Mohammad J. Sanjari & Young-Jin Kim & Stuart Moore & Richard Turner & Wayne W. Weaver & Dipti Srinivasan & Josep M. Guerrero & Mohammad Shahidehpour, 2023. "Adaptation of High Spatio-Temporal Resolution Weather/Load Forecast in Real-World Distributed Energy-System Operation," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(8), pages 1-16, April.
    7. Andreolli, Francesca & D’Alpaos, Chiara & Moretto, Michele, 2022. "Valuing investments in domestic PV-Battery Systems under uncertainty," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
    8. Luthander, Rasmus & Nilsson, Annica M. & Widén, Joakim & Åberg, Magnus, 2019. "Graphical analysis of photovoltaic generation and load matching in buildings: A novel way of studying self-consumption and self-sufficiency," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 250(C), pages 748-759.
    9. Shayan, Mostafa Esmaeili & Najafi, Gholamhassan & Ghobadian, Barat & Gorjian, Shiva & Mamat, Rizalman & Ghazali, Mohd Fairusham, 2022. "Multi-microgrid optimization and energy management under boost voltage converter with Markov prediction chain and dynamic decision algorithm," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 201(P2), pages 179-189.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Azuatalam, Donald & Paridari, Kaveh & Ma, Yiju & Förstl, Markus & Chapman, Archie C. & Verbič, Gregor, 2019. "Energy management of small-scale PV-battery systems: A systematic review considering practical implementation, computational requirements, quality of input data and battery degradation," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 555-570.
    2. Schopfer, S. & Tiefenbeck, V. & Staake, T., 2018. "Economic assessment of photovoltaic battery systems based on household load profiles," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 223(C), pages 229-248.
    3. Han, Xuejiao & Garrison, Jared & Hug, Gabriela, 2022. "Techno-economic analysis of PV-battery systems in Switzerland," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    4. Federica Cucchiella & Idiano D’Adamo & Massimo Gastaldi & Vincenzo Stornelli, 2018. "Solar Photovoltaic Panels Combined with Energy Storage in a Residential Building: An Economic Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-29, August.
    5. Andreolli, Francesca & D’Alpaos, Chiara & Moretto, Michele, 2022. "Valuing investments in domestic PV-Battery Systems under uncertainty," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
    6. Federica Cucchiella & Idiano D’Adamo & Massimo Gastaldi, 2017. "The Economic Feasibility of Residential Energy Storage Combined with PV Panels: The Role of Subsidies in Italy," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-18, September.
    7. von Appen, J. & Braun, M., 2018. "Interdependencies between self-sufficiency preferences, techno-economic drivers for investment decisions and grid integration of residential PV storage systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 229(C), pages 1140-1151.
    8. Solano, J.C. & Olivieri, L. & Caamaño-Martín, E., 2017. "Assessing the potential of PV hybrid systems to cover HVAC loads in a grid-connected residential building through intelligent control," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 206(C), pages 249-266.
    9. de Oliveira e Silva, Guilherme & Hendrick, Patrick, 2017. "Photovoltaic self-sufficiency of Belgian households using lithium-ion batteries, and its impact on the grid," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 195(C), pages 786-799.
    10. Luthander, Rasmus & Nilsson, Annica M. & Widén, Joakim & Åberg, Magnus, 2019. "Graphical analysis of photovoltaic generation and load matching in buildings: A novel way of studying self-consumption and self-sufficiency," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 250(C), pages 748-759.
    11. Bertsch, Valentin & Geldermann, Jutta & Lühn, Tobias, 2017. "What drives the profitability of household PV investments, self-consumption and self-sufficiency?," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 204(C), pages 1-15.
    12. Korjani, Saman & Casu, Fabio & Damiano, Alfonso & Pilloni, Virginia & Serpi, Alessandro, 2022. "An online energy management tool for sizing integrated PV-BESS systems for residential prosumers," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 313(C).
    13. Roberts, Mike B. & Bruce, Anna & MacGill, Iain, 2019. "Impact of shared battery energy storage systems on photovoltaic self-consumption and electricity bills in apartment buildings," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 245(C), pages 78-95.
    14. O'Shaughnessy, Eric & Cutler, Dylan & Ardani, Kristen & Margolis, Robert, 2018. "Solar plus: A review of the end-user economics of solar PV integration with storage and load control in residential buildings," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 228(C), pages 2165-2175.
    15. Schram, Wouter L. & Lampropoulos, Ioannis & van Sark, Wilfried G.J.H.M., 2018. "Photovoltaic systems coupled with batteries that are optimally sized for household self-consumption: Assessment of peak shaving potential," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 223(C), pages 69-81.
    16. von Appen, J. & Braun, M., 2018. "Strategic decision making of distribution network operators and investors in residential photovoltaic battery storage systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 230(C), pages 540-550.
    17. Ayala-Gilardón, A. & Sidrach-de-Cardona, M. & Mora-López, L., 2018. "Influence of time resolution in the estimation of self-consumption and self-sufficiency of photovoltaic facilities," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 229(C), pages 990-997.
    18. Freitas Gomes, Icaro Silvestre & Perez, Yannick & Suomalainen, Emilia, 2020. "Coupling small batteries and PV generation: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    19. Hirschburger, Rafael & Weidlich, Anke, 2020. "Profitability of photovoltaic and battery systems on municipal buildings," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 153(C), pages 1163-1173.
    20. Karni Siraganyan & Amarasinghage Tharindu Dasun Perera & Jean-Louis Scartezzini & Dasaraden Mauree, 2019. "Eco-Sim: A Parametric Tool to Evaluate the Environmental and Economic Feasibility of Decentralized Energy Systems," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(5), pages 1-22, February.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:212:y:2018:i:c:p:746-758. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/405891/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.