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Climate warming enhances sugarcane yield and increases annual harvest frequency in northern coastal New South Wales, Australia

Author

Listed:
  • Yao, Shijin
  • Liu, De Li
  • Wang, Bin
  • Webb, Jonathan K.
  • Li, Siyi
  • Huete, Alfredo
  • Xiang, Keyu
  • Yu, Qiang

Abstract

Australia is a leading exporter of raw sugar on the global market. Rising temperatures could enable sugarcane to achieve harvestable yields in a 1-year growth cycle instead of the traditional 2-year cycle in the subtropical regions of northern New South Wales (NSW). However, no study has evaluated how climate change impacts annual harvest frequency, leaving a critical gap in understanding sugarcane production's future in Australia.

Suggested Citation

  • Yao, Shijin & Liu, De Li & Wang, Bin & Webb, Jonathan K. & Li, Siyi & Huete, Alfredo & Xiang, Keyu & Yu, Qiang, 2026. "Climate warming enhances sugarcane yield and increases annual harvest frequency in northern coastal New South Wales, Australia," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:agisys:v:231:y:2026:i:c:s0308521x25002422
    DOI: 10.1016/j.agsy.2025.104502
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Fabio Marin & James Jones & Abraham Singels & Frederick Royce & Eduardo Assad & Giampaolo Pellegrino & Flávio Justino, 2013. "Climate change impacts on sugarcane attainable yield in southern Brazil," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 117(1), pages 227-239, March.
    2. Guga, Suri & Ma, Yining & Riao, Dao & Zhi, Feng & Xu, Jie & Zhang, Jiquan, 2023. "Drought monitoring of sugarcane and dynamic variation characteristics under global warming: A case study of Guangxi, China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 275(C).
    3. De Liu & Heping Zuo, 2012. "Statistical downscaling of daily climate variables for climate change impact assessment over New South Wales, Australia," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 115(3), pages 629-666, December.
    4. Puyu Feng & Bin Wang & De Li Liu & Hongtao Xing & Fei Ji & Ian Macadam & Hongyan Ruan & Qiang Yu, 2018. "Impacts of rainfall extremes on wheat yield in semi-arid cropping systems in eastern Australia," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 147(3), pages 555-569, April.
    5. dos Santos Vianna, Murilo & Metselaar, Klaas & de Jong van Lier, Quirijn & Gaiser, Thomas & Marin, Fábio Ricardo, 2024. "The importance of model structure and soil data detail on the simulations of crop growth and water use: A case study for sugarcane," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 301(C).
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