IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/agisys/v224y2025ics0308521x24004104.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Cultivar shifts have offset climate warming impacts on soybean phenology in China since 1981

Author

Listed:
  • Mei, Qinghang
  • Zhang, Zhao
  • Han, Jichong
  • Song, Jie
  • Cheng, Fei
  • Zhuang, Huimin
  • Wu, Huaqing
  • Xu, Jialu

Abstract

Crop phenology is a critical ecological indicator reflecting the impact of climate change on agricultural systems. As soybean is one of the most important economic crops in China, investigating the dynamics and drivers of soybean phenology is essential for developing adaptation options.

Suggested Citation

  • Mei, Qinghang & Zhang, Zhao & Han, Jichong & Song, Jie & Cheng, Fei & Zhuang, Huimin & Wu, Huaqing & Xu, Jialu, 2025. "Cultivar shifts have offset climate warming impacts on soybean phenology in China since 1981," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:agisys:v:224:y:2025:i:c:s0308521x24004104
    DOI: 10.1016/j.agsy.2024.104260
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0308521X24004104
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.agsy.2024.104260?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mariola Staniak & Ewa Szpunar-Krok & Anna Kocira, 2023. "Responses of Soybean to Selected Abiotic Stresses—Photoperiod, Temperature and Water," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-28, January.
    2. Minghui Zhang & Gabriel Abrahao & Sally Thompson, 2021. "Sensitivity of soybean planting date to wet season onset in Mato Grosso, Brazil, and implications under climate change," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 168(3), pages 1-28, October.
    3. Yongshuo H. Fu & Hongfang Zhao & Shilong Piao & Marc Peaucelle & Shushi Peng & Guiyun Zhou & Philippe Ciais & Mengtian Huang & Annette Menzel & Josep Peñuelas & Yang Song & Yann Vitasse & Zhenzhong Ze, 2015. "Declining global warming effects on the phenology of spring leaf unfolding," Nature, Nature, vol. 526(7571), pages 104-107, October.
    4. Jeremy M. Cohen & Marc J. Lajeunesse & Jason R. Rohr, 2018. "A global synthesis of animal phenological responses to climate change," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 8(3), pages 224-228, March.
    5. Gustavo de los Campos & Paulino Pérez-Rodríguez & Matthieu Bogard & David Gouache & José Crossa, 2020. "A data-driven simulation platform to predict cultivars’ performances under uncertain weather conditions," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 11(1), pages 1-10, December.
    6. Salmerón, Montserrat & Purcell, Larry C., 2016. "Simplifying the prediction of phenology with the DSSAT-CROPGRO-soybean model based on relative maturity group and determinacy," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 178-187.
    7. Jeremy M. Cohen & Marc J. Lajeunesse & Jason R. Rohr, 2018. "Publisher Correction: A global synthesis of animal phenological responses to climate change," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 8(3), pages 258-258, March.
    8. Jose Oteros & Herminia García-Mozo & Roser Botey & Antonio Mestre & Carmen Galán, 2015. "Variations in cereal crop phenology in Spain over the last twenty-six years (1986–2012)," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 130(4), pages 545-558, June.
    9. Gian-Reto Walther & Eric Post & Peter Convey & Annette Menzel & Camille Parmesan & Trevor J. C. Beebee & Jean-Marc Fromentin & Ove Hoegh-Guldberg & Franz Bairlein, 2002. "Ecological responses to recent climate change," Nature, Nature, vol. 416(6879), pages 389-395, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Rui Yin & Wenkuan Qin & Xudong Wang & Dong Xie & Hao Wang & Hongyang Zhao & Zhenhua Zhang & Jin-Sheng He & Martin Schädler & Paul Kardol & Nico Eisenhauer & Biao Zhu, 2023. "Experimental warming causes mismatches in alpine plant-microbe-fauna phenology," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-9, December.
    2. Portalier, S.M.J. & Candau, J.-N. & Lutscher, F., 2024. "Larval mortality from phenological mismatch can affect outbreak frequency and severity of a boreal forest defoliator," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 493(C).
    3. Roberto Novella-Fernandez & Roland Brandl & Stefan Pinkert & Dirk Zeuss & Christian Hof, 2023. "Seasonal variation in dragonfly assemblage colouration suggests a link between thermal melanism and phenology," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-9, December.
    4. Jake F. Weltzin & Julio L. Betancourt & Benjamin I. Cook & Theresa M. Crimmins & Carolyn A. F. Enquist & Michael D. Gerst & John E. Gross & Geoffrey M. Henebry & Rebecca A. Hufft & Melissa A. Kenney &, 2020. "Seasonality of biological and physical systems as indicators of climatic variation and change," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 163(4), pages 1755-1771, December.
    5. Jaroslav Koleček & Peter Adamík & Jiří Reif, 2020. "Shifts in migration phenology under climate change: temperature vs. abundance effects in birds," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 159(2), pages 177-194, March.
    6. Conor C. Taff & J. Ryan. Shipley, 2023. "Inconsistent shifts in warming and temperature variability are linked to reduced avian fitness," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-12, December.
    7. Chris Turner, 2025. "Relationships and Relationality in Times of Profound Eco-Political Change," Societies, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-16, April.
    8. Kent Andersson & Craig A Davis & Grant Harris & David A Haukos, 2022. "Changes in waterfowl migration phenologies in central North America: Implications for future waterfowl conservation," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 17(5), pages 1-19, May.
    9. Kevin C. Rose & Britta Bierwagen & Scott D. Bridgham & Daren M. Carlisle & Charles P. Hawkins & N. LeRoy Poff & Jordan S. Read & Jason R. Rohr & Jasmine E. Saros & Craig E. Williamson, 2023. "Indicators of the effects of climate change on freshwater ecosystems," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 176(3), pages 1-20, March.
    10. Shuying Han & Jiaqi Zhai & Mengyang Ma & Yong Zhao & Xing Li & Linghui Li & Haihong Li, 2024. "A Study on the Differences in Vegetation Phenological Characteristics and Their Effects on Water–Carbon Coupling in the Huang-Huai-Hai and Yangtze River Basins, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(14), pages 1-24, July.
    11. Paul Marchal & Carolina Giraldo & David Johns & Sébastien Lefebvre & Christophe Loots & Lola Toomey, 2025. "Effects of zooplankton abundance on the spawning phenology of winter-spawning Downs herring (Clupea harengus)," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 20(2), pages 1-19, February.
    12. Joseph Taylor & Malcolm A. C. Nicoll & Emily Black & Caroline M. Wainwright & Carl G. Jones & Vikash Tatayah & Pier Luigi Vidale & Ken Norris, 2021. "Phenological tracking of a seasonal climate window in a recovering tropical island bird species," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 164(3), pages 1-19, February.
    13. Mayeul Dalleau & Stéphane Ciccione & Jeanne A Mortimer & Julie Garnier & Simon Benhamou & Jérôme Bourjea, 2012. "Nesting Phenology of Marine Turtles: Insights from a Regional Comparative Analysis on Green Turtle (Chelonia mydas)," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 7(10), pages 1-13, October.
    14. Monika Punia & Suman Nain & Amit Kumar & Bhupendra Singh & Amit Prakash & Krishan Kumar & V. Jain, 2015. "Analysis of temperature variability over north-west part of India for the period 1970–2000," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 75(1), pages 935-952, January.
    15. repec:plo:pone00:0130516 is not listed on IDEAS
    16. Marco Lopez-Cruz & Fernando M. Aguate & Jacob D. Washburn & Natalia Leon & Shawn M. Kaeppler & Dayane Cristina Lima & Ruijuan Tan & Addie Thompson & Laurence Willard Bretonne & Gustavo los Campos, 2023. "Leveraging data from the Genomes-to-Fields Initiative to investigate genotype-by-environment interactions in maize in North America," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-14, December.
    17. Feng Dong & Chih-Ming Hung & Shou-Hsien Li & Xiao-Jun Yang, 2021. "Potential Himalayan community turnover through the Late Pleistocene," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 164(1), pages 1-10, January.
    18. Chan, Nathan & Wichman, Casey, 2017. "The Effects of Climate on Leisure Demand: Evidence from North America," RFF Working Paper Series 17-20, Resources for the Future.
    19. Richter, Andries & Grasman, Johan, 2013. "The transmission of sustainable harvesting norms when agents are conditionally cooperative," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 202-209.
    20. A. Kosanic & S. Harrison & K. Anderson & I. Kavcic, 2014. "Present and historical climate variability in South West England," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 124(1), pages 221-237, May.
    21. repec:plo:pone00:0231595 is not listed on IDEAS
    22. Nye, Janet A. & Gamble, Robert J. & Link, Jason S., 2013. "The relative impact of warming and removing top predators on the Northeast US large marine biotic community," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 264(C), pages 157-168.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:agisys:v:224:y:2025:i:c:s0308521x24004104. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/agsy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.