IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eco/journ1/2013-03-10.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Analysts’ Forecast of IPO Firms during the Global Financial Crisis

Author

Listed:
  • Chang-Yi Hsu

    (Department of Industrial and Business Management, Chang Gung University, Taiwan)

  • Jean Yu

    (Department of Banking and Finance, National Chiayi University, Taiwan)

  • Shiow-Ying Wen

    (Department of Industrial and Business Management, Chang Gung University, Taiwan)

Abstract

In this study, we examine the analysts’ behavior in the pre-crisis and post-crisis period for IPO firms in the U.S. from 2005 to 2011. By controlling variables size, the proxy of underpricing, the number of the IPO firms and whether the company is listed on NYSE or NASDAQ, we investigate the forecast error of analyst between pre-crisis and post-crisis period for 2008 global financial crisis. The result shows that analysts in our sample are optimistic, and they would become more optimistic after financial crisis. Conservative analysts would emphasize determinants of variables when valuing IPO firms to make their predictions before financial crisis but only consider the prior-year earnings change after financial crisis. Contrarily, analysts more optimistic notice whether the company is listed on NYSE or NASDAQ before crisis but also consider the factors of debt ratio, firm size and the market trends.

Suggested Citation

  • Chang-Yi Hsu & Jean Yu & Shiow-Ying Wen, 2013. "The Analysts’ Forecast of IPO Firms during the Global Financial Crisis," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 3(3), pages 673-682.
  • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ1:2013-03-10
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/download/420/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: http://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/420/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Harrison Hong & Terence Lim & Jeremy C. Stein, 2000. "Bad News Travels Slowly: Size, Analyst Coverage, and the Profitability of Momentum Strategies," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 55(1), pages 265-295, February.
    2. Hsuan-Chi Chen & Jay R. Ritter, 2000. "The Seven Percent Solution," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 55(3), pages 1105-1131, June.
    3. Manuel Sanchez, 2011. "Financial Crises: Prevention, Correction, and Monetary Policy," Cato Journal, Cato Journal, Cato Institute, vol. 31(3), pages 521-534, Fall.
    4. Daniel J. Bradley & Bradford D. Jordan & Jay R. Ritter, 2003. "The Quiet Period Goes out with a Bang," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 58(1), pages 1-36, February.
    5. Somnath Das & Re-Jin Guo & Huai Zhang, 2006. "Analysts' Selective Coverage and Subsequent Performance of Newly Public Firms," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 61(3), pages 1159-1185, June.
    6. Frederick Adjei, 2012. "Debt dependence and corporate performance in a financial crisis: evidence from the sub-prime mortgage crisis," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 36(1), pages 176-189, January.
    7. Ritter, Jay R, 1984. "The "Hot Issue" Market of 1980," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 57(2), pages 215-240, April.
    8. Steven X. Zheng & David A. Stangeland, 2007. "IPO Underpricing, Firm Quality, and Analyst Forecasts," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 36(2), pages 1-20, July.
    9. Roger K. Loh & Mujtaba Mian, 2003. "The Quality of Analysts' Earnings Forecasts During the Asian Crisis: Evidence from Singapore," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(5-6), pages 749-770.
    10. DEDU Vasile & Turcan Ciprian Sebastian & Turcan Radu, 2011. "A Behavioral Approach To The Global Financial Crisis," Annals of Faculty of Economics, University of Oradea, Faculty of Economics, vol. 1(2), pages 340-346, December.
    11. Rajan, Raghuram & Servaes, Henri, 1997. " Analyst Following of Initial Public Offerings," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 52(2), pages 507-529, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    More about this item

    Keywords

    IPO; Analysts’ forecast; Financial crisis;

    JEL classification:

    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G30 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eco:journ1:2013-03-10. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Ilhan Ozturk). General contact details of provider: http://www.econjournals.com .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.