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The Quality of Analysts' Earnings Forecasts During the Asian Crisis: Evidence from Singapore

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  • Roger K. Loh
  • Mujtaba Mian

Abstract

We bring together three disparate strands of literature to develop a comprehensive empirical framework to examine the efficiency of security analysts' earnings forecasts in Singapore. We focus specifically on how the increased uncertainty and the negative market sentiment during the period of the Asian crisis affected the quality of earnings forecasts. While we find no evidence of inefficiencies in the pre-crisis period, our results suggest that after the onset of the crisis, analysts (1) issued forecasts that were systematically upward biased; (2) did not fully incorporate the (negative) earnings-related news; and (3) predicted earnings changes which proved too extreme. Copyright Blackwell Publishers Ltd, 2003.

Suggested Citation

  • Roger K. Loh & Mujtaba Mian, 2003. "The Quality of Analysts' Earnings Forecasts During the Asian Crisis: Evidence from Singapore," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(5-6), pages 749-770.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:jbfnac:v:30:y:2003-06:i:5-6:p:749-770
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    Cited by:

    1. Kepsu, Mikko & Schadewitz, Hannu & Vieru, Markku, 2008. "Performance of Analyst's Earnings Forecasting - Evidence from the Finnish Emerging Markets 1987-2005," Discussion Papers 1160, The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy.
    2. repec:spr:infosf:v:19:y:2017:i:6:d:10.1007_s10796-016-9654-x is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Chang-Yi Hsu & Jean Yu & Shiow-Ying Wen, 2013. "The Analysts’ Forecast of IPO Firms during the Global Financial Crisis," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 3(3), pages 673-682.
    4. Leif W. Lundmark & Chong Oh & J. Cameron Verhaal, 0. "A little Birdie told me: Social media, organizational legitimacy, and underpricing in initial public offerings," Information Systems Frontiers, Springer, vol. 0, pages 1-16.

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