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Income, Unemployment and Crime in Turkey: An Analysis of Causality

Author

Listed:
  • Kaya MUHAMMED VEYSEL

    (Kirikkale University, Kırıkkale, Turkey)

  • Aytekin IBRAHIM

    (Kirikkale University, Kırıkkale, Turkey)

  • Yılmaz SUAT SERHAT

    (Kirikkale University, Kırıkkale, Turkey)

Abstract

In this study, the relationship unemployment, GDP per capita and crime in Turkey in the years between 1985 and 2015 is analyzed econometrically and the relationship between these indicators is examined. Unit root test analysis, cointegration analysis and Granger causality model analysis are conducted in the study. In the result of the analysis, it is come into conclusion that there is a long-run relationship between the variables, and there is the two-way causality relationship between crime and GDP per capita and between crime and unemployment. but it is inferred that there is no causality relationship between GDP Per Capita and Unemployment.

Suggested Citation

  • Kaya MUHAMMED VEYSEL & Aytekin IBRAHIM & Yılmaz SUAT SERHAT, 2018. "Income, Unemployment and Crime in Turkey: An Analysis of Causality," Economics and Applied Informatics, "Dunarea de Jos" University of Galati, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, issue 1, pages 85-90.
    • Handle: RePEc:ddj:fseeai:y:2018:i:1:p:85-90
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Paresh Kumar Narayan & Russell Smyth, 2004. "Crime rates, male youth unemployment and real income in Australia: evidence from Granger causality tests," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(18), pages 2079-2095.
    2. Cömertler, Necmiye & Kar, Muhsin, 2007. "Türkiye’de Suç Oranının Sosyo-Ekonomik Belirleyicileri: Yatay Kesit Analizi [Economic And Social Determinants Of The Crime Rate In Turkey:Cross-Section Analysis]," MPRA Paper 7288, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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