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Measurement and assessment of the evolution of technology with a simple biological model

Author

Listed:
  • Mario COCCIA

    (CNR – National Research Council of Italy & Arizona State University)

Abstract

A simple model of the development of technology is presented. This model, in a broad analogy with evolutionary ecology of parasites, within a theoretical framework of Generalized Darwinism, can explain vital characteristics of technological advances and technological evolution. In particular, the evolution of technology is modelled here in terms of morphological changes between a host technology and a main subsystem of technology. The coefficient of evolutionary growth of this simple model here indicates the grade and type of the evolution of technology. This coefficient is quantified in real cases study using historical data of farm tractor, freight locomotive and electricity generation technology in steam-powered plants and internal-combustion plants. The approach of measurement and assessment of technological evolution proposed here seems to be appropriate in grasping the dynamics of technological evolution to predict which technologies are likeliest to evolve rapidly.

Suggested Citation

  • Mario COCCIA, 2018. "Measurement and assessment of the evolution of technology with a simple biological model," Turkish Economic Review, EconSciences Journals, vol. 5(3), pages 263-284, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:cvv:journ2:v:5:y:2018:i:3:p:263-284
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mario COCCIA, 2018. "The origins of the economics of Innovation," Journal of Economic and Social Thought, EconSciences Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 9-28, March.
    2. Mario COCCIA, 2018. "Violent crime driven by income Inequality between countries," Turkish Economic Review, EconSciences Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 33-55, March.
    3. Mario Coccia, 2007. "A new taxonomy of country performance and risk based on economic and technological indicators," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, vol. 10, pages 29-42, May.
    4. Mario COCCIA & Benati IGOR, 2018. "Rewards in public administration: A proposed classification," Journal of Social and Administrative Sciences, EconSciences Journals, vol. 5(2), pages 68-80, June.
    5. Mario COCCIA, 2018. "Theorem of not independence of any technological innovation," Journal of Economics Bibliography, KSP Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 29-35, March.
    6. Mario Coccia & Barry Bozeman, 2016. "Allometric models to measure and analyze the evolution of international research collaboration," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 108(3), pages 1065-1084, September.
    7. Mario Coccia & Ugo Finardi & Diego Margon, 2012. "Current trends in nanotechnology research across worldwide geo-economic players," The Journal of Technology Transfer, Springer, vol. 37(5), pages 777-787, October.
    8. Mario COCCIA, 2018. "Growth rate of population associated with high terrorism incidents in society," Journal of Economics Bibliography, EconSciences Journals, vol. 5(3), pages 142-158, September.
    9. Mario Coccia, 2001. "Satisfaction, work involvement and R&D performance," International Journal of Human Resources Development and Management, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 1(2/3/4), pages 268-282.
    10. Mario COCCIA, 2018. "Motivations of scientific research in society," Journal of Social and Administrative Sciences, EconSciences Journals, vol. 5(3), pages 196-216, September.
    11. Mario COCCIA, 2018. "The origins of the economics of Innovation," Journal of Economic and Social Thought, KSP Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 9-28, March.
    12. Coccia, Mario, 2018. "A Theory of the General Causes of Long Waves: War, General Purpose Technologies, and Economic Change," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 287-295.
    13. Mario COCCIA, 2018. "Classification of innovation considering technological interaction," Journal of Economics Bibliography, EconSciences Journals, vol. 5(2), pages 76-93, June.
    14. Mario COCCIA, 2017. "Disruptive firms and industrial change," Journal of Economic and Social Thought, EconSciences Journals, vol. 4(4), pages 437-450, December.
    15. Mario COCCIA, 2017. "Disruptive firms and industrial change," Journal of Economic and Social Thought, KSP Journals, vol. 4(4), pages 437-450, December.
    16. Mario COCCIA, 2017. "The Fishbone diagram to identify, systematize and analyze the sources of general purpose technologies," Journal of Social and Administrative Sciences, KSP Journals, vol. 4(4), pages 291-303, December.
    17. Mario COCCIA, 2018. "Violent crime driven by income Inequality between countries," Turkish Economic Review, KSP Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 33-55, March.
    18. Mario Coccia, 2008. "Spatial mobility of knowledge transfer and absorptive capacity: analysis and measurement of the impact within the geoeconomic space," The Journal of Technology Transfer, Springer, vol. 33(1), pages 105-122, February.
    19. Mario COCCIA, 2018. "Theorem of not independence of any technological innovation," Journal of Economics Bibliography, EconSciences Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 29-35, March.
    20. Rosenberg, Nathan, 1969. "The Direction of Technological Change: Inducement Mechanisms and Focusing Devices," Economic Development and Cultural Change, University of Chicago Press, vol. 18(1), pages 1-24, Part I Oc.
    21. Mario COCCIA, 2017. "The Fishbone diagram to identify, systematize and analyze the sources of general purpose technologies," Journal of Social and Administrative Sciences, EconSciences Journals, vol. 4(4), pages 291-303, December.
    22. Mario COCCIA & Matteo BELLITTO, 2018. "Human progress and its socioeconomic effects in society," Journal of Economic and Social Thought, EconSciences Journals, vol. 5(2), pages 160-178, June.
    23. Matteo BELLITTO & Mario COCCIA, 2018. "Interrelationships between Violent crime, demographic and socioeconomic factors: a preliminary analysis between Central-Northern European countries and Mediterranean countries," Journal of Economic and Social Thought, EconSciences Journals, vol. 5(3), pages 230-246, September.
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    Cited by:

    1. Mario COCCIA, 2019. "Revolution: Characteristics, taxonomies and situational causes," Journal of Economic and Social Thought, EconSciences Journals, vol. 6(1), pages 48-56, March.
    2. Mario COCCIA, 2018. "What are the characteristics of revolution and evolution?," Journal of Economic and Social Thought, EconSciences Journals, vol. 5(4), pages 288-294, December.
    3. Mario COCCIA, 2018. "Superpowers and conflict development: Is it a possible relation for supporting human progress?," Journal of Social and Administrative Sciences, EconSciences Journals, vol. 5(4), pages 274-281, December.
    4. By Mario COCCIA, 2018. "World-System Theory: A sociopolitical approach to explain World economic development in a capitalistic," Journal of Economics and Political Economy, EconSciences Journals, vol. 5(4), pages 459-465, December.
    5. Mario Coccia, 2018. "The Economics of Science and Innovation: New Directions," EconSciences Library Books, EconSciences Library Books, edition 1, number 978-605-2132-93-7, May.
    6. Mario COCCIA, 2019. "Artificial intelligence technology in cancer imaging: Clinical challenges for detection of lung and breast cancer," Journal of Social and Administrative Sciences, EconSciences Journals, vol. 6(2), pages 82-98, June.
    7. Mario COCCIA, 2018. "Motivations of scientific research in society," Journal of Social and Administrative Sciences, EconSciences Journals, vol. 5(3), pages 196-216, September.
    8. Mario COCCIA, 2019. "Theories and the reasons for war: a survey," Journal of Economic and Social Thought, EconSciences Journals, vol. 6(2), pages 115-124, June.
    9. Mario COCCIA, 2019. "Metabolism of public organizations: A case study," Journal of Social and Administrative Sciences, EconSciences Journals, vol. 6(1), pages 1-9, March.
    10. Mario COCCIA, 2018. "An introduction to the theories of institutional change," Journal of Economics Library, EconSciences Journals, vol. 5(4), pages 337-344, December.
    11. Matteo BELLITTO & Mario COCCIA, 2018. "Interrelationships between Violent crime, demographic and socioeconomic factors: a preliminary analysis between Central-Northern European countries and Mediterranean countries," Journal of Economic and Social Thought, EconSciences Journals, vol. 5(3), pages 230-246, September.
    12. Mario COCCIA, 2019. "Technological host-parasites co-evolution," Journal of Economics Library, EconSciences Journals, vol. 6(2), pages 97-117, June.

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • O30 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - General
    • O31 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Innovation and Invention: Processes and Incentives
    • O32 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Management of Technological Innovation and R&D
    • O33 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Technological Change: Choices and Consequences; Diffusion Processes
    • O38 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Government Policy

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