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Fiscal Policy And The Real Exchange Rate

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  • Chatterjee, Santanu
  • Mursagulov, Azer

Abstract

This paper examines the mechanisms through which government spending affects the dynamics of the real exchange rate. Using a two-sector dependent open economy model with intersectoral mobility costs for private capital, we show that public investment generates (i) a nonmonotonic U-shaped adjustment path for the real exchange rate with sharp intertemporal trade-offs and (ii) a crowding-in of private consumption, consistent with stylized facts. The effects of public consumption, however, are in sharp contrast to those of public investment. The effect of government spending on the real exchange rate depends critically on (i) the sectoral composition of public spending, (ii) the underlying financing policy, (iii) the sectoral intensity of private capital in production, (iv) the relative sectoral productivity of public infrastructure, (v) the elasticity of substitution in production, and (vi) intersectoral mobility costs for capital. In deriving these results, we identify conditions under which the predictions of the neoclassical open economy model can be reconciled with empirical regularities. Our results underscore the importance of decoupling the effects of government investment from those of government consumption in understanding the relationship between fiscal policy and the real exchange rate.

Suggested Citation

  • Chatterjee, Santanu & Mursagulov, Azer, 2016. "Fiscal Policy And The Real Exchange Rate," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 20(7), pages 1742-1770, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:cup:macdyn:v:20:y:2016:i:07:p:1742-1770_00
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    Cited by:

    1. Miao, Nana & Sharif, Arshian & Ozturk, Ilhan & Razzaq, Asif, 2023. "How do the exploitation of natural resources and fiscal policy affect green growth? Moderating role of ecological governance in G7 countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    2. Snober Fazal & Muhammad Azhar Bhatti & Tusawar Iftikhar Ahmad, 2019. "Sectorial growth, Exchange rate and Fiscal policy in Developing Economies: The Interlinkages," iRASD Journal of Economics, International Research Alliance for Sustainable Development (iRASD), vol. 1(2), pages 68-81, December.
    3. repec:rnp:ecopol:e15610 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Raimundo Soto & Ibrahim Elbadawi & Isaac Martínez, 2019. "Exports, Exchange Regimes, and Fragility," Documentos de Trabajo 526, Instituto de Economia. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile..
    5. Oscar Bajo-Rubio & Burcu Berke & Vicente Esteve, 2020. "Fiscal policy and the real exchange rate: some evidence from Spain," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 47(2), pages 267-280, May.
    6. Lan Huong Hoang, 2016. "The Role of Exchange Rate in Supporting Trade Balance in Vietnam," IHEID Working Papers 16-2016, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
    7. Biswajit Maitra & Dhritiman Ganguli, 2024. "Fiscal policy and real exchange rate variations in India," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 14(3), pages 619-640, September.
    8. Ms. Marialuz Moreno Badia & Mr. Alex Segura-Ubiergo, 2014. "Real Exchange Rate Appreciation in Emerging Markets: Can Fiscal Policy Help?," IMF Working Papers 2014/001, International Monetary Fund.
    9. Ramona Tiganasu & Gabriela Carmen Pascariu & Dan Lupu, 2022. "Competitiveness, fiscal policy and corruption: evidence from Central and Eastern European countries," Oeconomia Copernicana, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 13(3), pages 667-698, September.
    10. Chatterjee, Santanu & Turnovsky, Stephen J., 2018. "Remittances and the informal economy," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C), pages 66-83.
    11. Santanu Chatterjee & Olaf Posch & Dennis Wesselbaum, 2017. "Delays in Public Goods," Working Papers 1702, University of Otago, Department of Economics, revised Feb 2017.
    12. Alonso Cifuentes, Julio César & Jaramillo Flechas, Luis Eduardo, 2019. "Descomponiendo el Efecto del Gasto Público en la Tasa de Cambio Real: Una Aproximación al Caso Colombiano || Decomposing the Effect of Public Spending on the Real Exchange Rate: An Approximation to the Colombian Case," Revista de Métodos Cuantitativos para la Economía y la Empresa = Journal of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, vol. 27(1), pages 91-114, June.
    13. Martínez-Zarzoso, Inmaculada & Johannsen, Florian, 2017. "Monetary uncertainty and trade in Eastern Europe and Central Asia: A firm-level analysis," International Business Review, Elsevier, vol. 26(3), pages 476-490.
    14. Santanu Chatterjee & Stephen J. Turnovsky, 2023. "Government expenditure and informality in an emerging economy: the recent experience of India," Indian Economic Review, Springer, vol. 58(2), pages 293-318, September.
    15. Santanu Chatterjee & Mark C. Kelly & Stephen J. Turnovsky, 2022. "Foreign aid, public investment, and the informal economy," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 60(1), pages 174-201, January.

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