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The Volatility Risk Premium Embedded in Currency Options

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  • Low, Buen Sin
  • Zhang, Shaojun

Abstract

This study employs a non-parametric approach to investigate the volatility risk premium in the over-the-counter currency option market. Using a large database of daily delta-neutral straddle quotes in four major currencies—the British pound, the euro, the Japanese yen, and the Swiss franc—we find that volatility risk is priced in all four currencies across different option maturities. We find that the volatility risk premium is negative, with the premium decreasing in maturity. Finally, we also find evidence that jump risk may be priced in the currency option market.

Suggested Citation

  • Low, Buen Sin & Zhang, Shaojun, 2005. "The Volatility Risk Premium Embedded in Currency Options," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 40(4), pages 803-832, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:jfinqa:v:40:y:2005:i:04:p:803-832_00
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Hiroshi Sasaki, 2015. "Understanding Delta-Hedged Option Returns in Stochastic Volatility Environments," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 22(2), pages 151-184, May.
    2. Neely, Christopher J., 2009. "Forecasting foreign exchange volatility: Why is implied volatility biased and inefficient? And does it matter?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 188-205, February.
    3. Della Corte, Pasquale & Sarno, Lucio & Tsiakas, Ilias, 2011. "Spot and forward volatility in foreign exchange," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(3), pages 496-513, June.
    4. Gabriele Galati & Patrick Higgins & Owen Humpage & William Melick, 2007. "Option prices, exchange market intervention, and the higher moment expectations channel: a user's guide," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 12(2), pages 225-247.
    5. Branger, Nicole & Muck, Matthias & Seifried, Frank Thomas & Weisheit, Stefan, 2017. "Optimal portfolios when variances and covariances can jump," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 59-89.
    6. Yu Feng & Erik Schlogl, 2018. "Model Risk Measurement Under Wasserstein Distance," Research Paper Series 393, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
    7. Hui Guo & Christopher J. Neely & Jason Higbee, 2008. "Foreign Exchange Volatility Is Priced in Equities," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 37(4), pages 769-790, December.
    8. Kedar-Levy, Haim & Yu, Xiaoyan & Kamesaka, Akiko & Ben-Zion, Uri, 2010. "The impact of daily return limit and segmented clientele on stock returns in China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 19(4), pages 223-236, September.
    9. Sankar, Ganesh & Ramachandran, Shankar & Lukose P J, Jijo, 2020. "Dynamics of variance risk premium: Evidence from India," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 321-334.
    10. Lin, Bing-Huei & Lin, Yueh-Neng & Chen, Yin-Jung, 2012. "Volatility risk premium decomposition of LIFFE equity options," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 315-326.
    11. Duyvesteyn, Johan & de Zwart, Gerben, 2015. "Riding the swaption curve," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 57-75.
    12. Jie-Cao He & Hsing-Hua Chang & Ting-Fu Chen & Shih-Kuei Lin, 2023. "Upside and downside correlated jump risk premia of currency options and expected returns," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-58, December.
    13. Ammann, Manuel & Buesser, Ralf, 2013. "Variance Risk Premiums in Foreign Exchange Markets," Working Papers on Finance 1304, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance.
    14. Alfredo Ibáñez, 2008. "The cross-section of average delta-hedge option returns under stochastic volatility," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 11(3), pages 205-244, October.
    15. Yu Feng, 2019. "Theory and Application of Model Risk Quantification," PhD Thesis, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 3-2019.
    16. Ammann, Manuel & Buesser, Ralf, 2013. "Variance risk premiums in foreign exchange markets," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 16-32.
    17. Vohra, Suprita & Fabozzi, Frank J., 2019. "Effectiveness of developed and emerging market FX options in active currency risk management," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 130-146.

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