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Producción de biocombustibles y empleo rural en Colombia 2009-2015

Author

Listed:
  • Jorge Barrientos Marin
  • Carlos Andrés Vasco Correa

Abstract

Este trabajo de investigación estima el efecto de la política de mezcla de biocombustibles sobre la generación de empleo rural en Colombia, a través de la aplicación de la metodología empírica basada en vectores autorregresivos (VAR), para estimar la elasticidad del nivel de empleo y simular su comportamiento cuando la producción y los precios de biocombustibles o combustibles fósiles sufren variaciones. Se construye una base de datos que contiene nivel de producción, precios y empleo con periodicidad mensual entre 2009 y 2015 en Colombia. Se estudia la estructura empírica subyacente y la manera como se puede estimar la elasticidad en modelos vectoriales, finalmente se analiza la política de promoción de los biocombustibles y sus efectos sobre la generación de empleo. Las correlaciones dinámicas estimadas muestran que no existe un efecto apreciable sobre el nivel de empleo cuando hay variaciones en los niveles de producción y precios de los biocombustibles.

Suggested Citation

  • Jorge Barrientos Marin & Carlos Andrés Vasco Correa, 2020. "Producción de biocombustibles y empleo rural en Colombia 2009-2015," Apuntes del Cenes, Universidad Pedagógica y Tecnológica de Colombia, vol. 39(70), pages 233-260, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000152:019999
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    File URL: https://revistas.uptc.edu.co/index.php/cenes/article/view/10426
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. María Angélica Arbeláez & Alexander Estacio & Mauricio Olivera, 2010. "Impacto socioeconómico del sector azucarero colombiano en la economía nacional y regional," Cuadernos de Fedesarrollo 9285, Fedesarrollo.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    planificación económica; política económica; política energética; empleo; economía de la energía; biocombustibles; modelos VAR.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • L52 - Industrial Organization - - Regulation and Industrial Policy - - - Industrial Policy; Sectoral Planning Methods
    • Q16 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - R&D; Agricultural Technology; Biofuels; Agricultural Extension Services
    • Q48 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Government Policy
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection

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