IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/cmk/journl/y2014p45-53.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Measuring Seasonal Concentration Of Tourism Demand: Comparative Study Of See Countries

Author

Listed:
  • Biljana Petrevska

    (Faculty of Tourism and Business Logistics, "Goce Delcev" University - Stip, Macedonia)

Abstract

The paper aims to measure seasonality patterns of tourism demand with a particular emphasis on selected countries from South East Europe. The intention is to test the flow distribution in a particular time-segment. This is done by calculating several standard indicators for quantifying inequality of tourism demand in the line of assessing dispersion and concentration in tourism. The outcome is computed annual single measure of the seasonality’s extend for each selected country (Bosnia and Herzegovina, Croatia, Macedonia, Montenegro, Serbia and Slovenia). The calculations are based upon monthly series of total number of tourists for the period 2007-2013. The comparative analysis points to interesting research results in terms of different levels of seasonality effects, from low seasonality and no substantial meaning for tourism development (Bosnia and Herzegovina, Macedonia, Serbia and Slovenia), to high seasonality and considerable concentration of tourism demand (Croatia and Montenegro). Furthermore, the study strongly alarms all tourism key players to focus the attention on policies and strategies in the line of modifying tourism seasonality patterns. Finally, the additional contribution of the paper lies in the fact that represents a kind of a pioneer research that empirically investigates tourism seasonality in the region and offers a comparative analysis, thus enriching the poorly developed academic work in this field in Macedonia.

Suggested Citation

  • Biljana Petrevska, 2014. "Measuring Seasonal Concentration Of Tourism Demand: Comparative Study Of See Countries," Journal Articles, Center For Economic Analyses, pages 45-53, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:cmk:journl:y:2014:p:45-53
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://journal.cea.org.mk/files/journals/1/articles/20/public/20-78-1-PB.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Tom Baum, 1999. "Seasonality in Tourism: Understanding the Challenges," Tourism Economics, , vol. 5(1), pages 5-8, March.
    2. Paulo M.M. Rodrigues & Pedro M.D.C.B. Gouveia, 2004. "An Application of PAR Models for Tourism Forecasting," Tourism Economics, , vol. 10(3), pages 281-303, September.
    3. Claveria, Oscar & Datzira, Jordi, 2008. "Tourism Demand in Catalonia: Detecting External Economic Factors," MPRA Paper 25303, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 12 Apr 2008.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jia, Shuyi & Lai, Joel Weijia & Koh, Jin Ming & Xie, Neng Gang & Cheong, Kang Hao, 2020. "Parrondo effect: Exploring the nature-inspired framework on periodic functions," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 556(C).
    2. Oscar Claveria & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra, 2015. "“Multiple-input multiple-output vs. single-input single-output neural network forecasting”," AQR Working Papers 201502, University of Barcelona, Regional Quantitative Analysis Group, revised Jan 2015.
    3. Paz Rico & Bernardí Cabrer-Borrás & Francisco Morillas-Jurado, 2021. "Seasonality in Tourism: Do Senior Programs Mitigate It?," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(16), pages 1-27, August.
    4. Al Saba, Fatema & Mertzanis, Charilaos & Kampouris, Ilias, 2023. "Employee empowerment and tourism sector employment around the world," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 9(2), pages 28-40.
    5. Oscar Claveria & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra, 2015. "“Regional Forecasting with Support Vector Regressions: The Case of Spain”," IREA Working Papers 201507, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Jan 2015.
    6. José María Martín Martín & Juan De Dios Jiménez Aguilera & Valentín Molina Moreno, 2014. "Impacts of Seasonality on Environmental Sustainability in the Tourism Sector Based on Destination Type: An Application to Spain'S Andalusia Region," Tourism Economics, , vol. 20(1), pages 123-142, February.
    7. Stefano De Cantis & Mauro Ferrante & Franco Vaccina, 2011. "Seasonal Pattern and Amplitude – a Logical Framework to Analyse Seasonality in Tourism: An Application to Bed Occupancy in Sicilian Hotels," Tourism Economics, , vol. 17(3), pages 655-675, June.
    8. Rosselló, Jaume & Sansó, Andreu, 2017. "Yearly, monthly and weekly seasonality of tourism demand: A decomposition analysis," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 379-389.
    9. Asgary, Ali & Rezvani, Mohammad Reza & Mehregan, Nader, 2011. "Local Residents’ Preferences for Second Home Tourism Development Policies: A Choice Experiment nalysis," MPRA Paper 29703, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Barış Çıvak & Senem Besler, 2022. "A Critical Analysis of Managerial Control Mechanisms in Hotel Businesses," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(1), pages 21582440221, March.
    11. Duro Moreno, Juan Antonio & Turrión Prats, Judith, 2016. "Tourist seasonality in Catalonia: The relevance of demand factors," Working Papers 2072/266571, Universitat Rovira i Virgili, Department of Economics.
    12. Ki-Hong Choi & Insin Kim, 2021. "Co-Movement between Tourist Arrivals of Inbound Tourism Markets in South Korea: Applying the Dynamic Copula Method Using Secondary Time Series Data," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-13, January.
    13. Brida, Juan Gabriel & Osti, Linda & Santifaller, Esther, 2011. "Second Homes and the Need for Policy Planning," MPRA Paper 29835, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Corluka, Goran & Mikinac, Kresimir & Milenkovska, Angela, 2016. "Classification Of Tourist Season In Costal Tourism," UTMS Journal of Economics, University of Tourism and Management, Skopje, Macedonia, vol. 7(1), pages 71-83.
    15. Duro, Juan Antonio, 2016. "Seasonality of hotel demand in the main Spanish provinces: Measurements and decomposition exercises," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 52-63.
    16. Petrevska Biljana, 2015. "Effects of Tourism Seasonality at Local Level," Scientific Annals of Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 62(2), pages 242-251, July.
    17. repec:ptu:bdpart:r201613 is not listed on IDEAS
    18. Luigi Grossi & Mauro Mussini, 2019. "Seasonality in tourist flows: Decomposing and testing changes in seasonal concentration," Working Papers 16/2019, University of Verona, Department of Economics.
    19. Khalid Khan & Chi-Wei Su & Yi-Dong Xiao & Haotian Zhu & Xiaoyan Zhang, 2021. "Trends in tourism under economic uncertainty," Tourism Economics, , vol. 27(4), pages 841-858, June.
    20. Petrevska, Biljana, 2013. "Investigating Tourism Seasonality In Macedonia," UTMS Journal of Economics, University of Tourism and Management, Skopje, Macedonia, vol. 4(1), pages 37-44.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Seasonality; Tourism; Development; South East Europe;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • L83 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Sports; Gambling; Restaurants; Recreation; Tourism
    • R1 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cmk:journl:y:2014:p:45-53. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Marjan Nikolov (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ceaskmk.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.