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Canadian monetary policy analysis using a structural VARMA model

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  • Mala Raghavan
  • George Athanasopoulos
  • Param Silvapulle

Abstract

This paper builds a structural VARMA (SVARMA) model for investigating Canadian monetary policy. Using the scalar component methodology proposed by Athanasopoulos and Vahid (2008a), we first identify a VARMA model and then construct a SVARMA for Canadian monetary policy. Relative to the responses by a structural VAR, the responses generated by the SVARMA are consistent with those supported by various theoretical models and solve economic puzzles commonly found in the empirical literature on monetary policy. The superior out-of-sample forecasting performance of the reduced form VARMA compared to VAR alternatives further advocates the suitability of this framework for small open economies.

Suggested Citation

  • Mala Raghavan & George Athanasopoulos & Param Silvapulle, 2016. "Canadian monetary policy analysis using a structural VARMA model," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 49(1), pages 347-373, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:cje:issued:v:49:y:2016:i:1:p:347-373
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    Cited by:

    1. Georgiadis, Georgios & Jančoková, Martina, 2017. "Financial globalisation, monetary policy spillovers and macro-modelling: tales from 1001 shocks," Working Paper Series 2082, European Central Bank.
    2. repec:bla:ecorec:v:93:y:2017:i:302:p:465-483 is not listed on IDEAS

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    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models

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