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Comment definir un taux de change d'equilibre pour les pays emergents ?

Author

Listed:
  • Virginie Coudert

Abstract

Il existe plusieurs methodes pour apprecier si un taux de change est a son "bon niveau". La parite de pouvoir d'achat (PPA), en niveau et en evolution, constitue une reference souvent utilisee. Mais elle n'est guere appropriee a l'etude des pays emergents, qui ont des niveaux de prix beaucoup plus faibles que les pays developpes. Il est souhaitable de corriger la norme de PPA par l'effet dit "Balassa", qui tient compte des differences de productivite entre les secteurs. Cet effet explique le plus faible niveau de prix dans les pays developpes et considere normale une certaine appreciation du taux de change reel au cours du processus de developpement.

Suggested Citation

  • Virginie Coudert, 1999. "Comment definir un taux de change d'equilibre pour les pays emergents ?," Economie Internationale, CEPII research center, issue 77, pages 45-66.
    • Handle: RePEc:cii:cepiei:1999-1tc
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    File URL: http://www.cepii.fr/IE/ei.asp?issue=77
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Michel Aglietta & Camille Baulant & Sandra Moatti, 2003. "Les PECO devant la tentation de l'euro," Economie Internationale, CEPII research center, issue 93, pages 11-36.
    2. Egert, Balazs & Halpern, Laszlo, 2006. "Equilibrium exchange rates in Central and Eastern Europe: A meta-regression analysis," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(5), pages 1359-1374, May.
    3. repec:dau:papers:123456789/6259 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. repec:onb:oenbwp:y::i:106:b:1 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Nikolay Nenovsky & Kalina Dimitrova, 2002. "Dual Inflation Under the Currency Board: The Challenges of Bulgarian EU Accession," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series 487, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan.
    6. Burkart, Oliver & Coudert, Virginie, 2002. "Leading indicators of currency crises for emerging countries," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 3(2), pages 107-133, June.
    7. Balázs Égert & László Halpern & Ronald MacDonald, 2006. "Equilibrium Exchange Rates in Transition Economies: Taking Stock of the Issues," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 20(2), pages 257-324, April.
    8. Oliver Burkart & Virginie Coudert, 2000. "Leading Indicators of Currency Crises in Emerging Economies," Working papers 74, Banque de France.
    9. Ferdinand Owoundi & Jacques Landry Bikai, 2021. "On the neutrality of the exchange rate regime regarding real misalignments: Evidence from sub‐Saharan Africa," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 73(3), pages 327-345, July.
    10. Balázs Égert, 2012. "Dutch diease in the post-soviet countries of central and south-west Asia: How contagious is it?," Post-Print hal-01385841, HAL.
    11. Égert, Balázs, 2004. "Assessing equilibrium exchange rates in CEE acceding countries: can we have DEER with BEER without FEER? A critical survey of the literature," BOFIT Discussion Papers 1/2004, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    12. Frait, Jan & Komarek, Lubos & Melecky, Martin, 2006. "The Real Exchange Rate Misalignment in the Five Central European Countries," Economic Research Papers 269632, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
    13. Balazs Egert & Amina Lahrèche-Revil, 2003. "Estimating the Fundamental Equilibrium Exchange Rate of Central and Eastern European Countries; The EMU Enlargement Perspective," Working Papers 2003-05, CEPII research center.
    14. Virginie Coudert & Cécile Couharde, 2003. "Exchange Rate Regimes and Sustainable Parities for ceecs in the Run-up to emu Membership," Revue économique, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 54(5), pages 983-1012.
    15. repec:zbw:bofitp:2005_004 is not listed on IDEAS
    16. Sfia, Mohamed Daly, 2006. "Tunisia: Sources Of Real Exchange Rate Fluctuations," MPRA Paper 3129, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Ferdinand Owoundi, 2017. "Investigating the link between the exchange rate regime and underlying misalignments," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 37(2), pages 880-888.
    18. Nienke Oomes, 2005. "Maintaining Competitiveness Under Equilibrium Real Appreciation: The Case of Slovakia," IMF Working Papers 2005/065, International Monetary Fund.
    19. Ngongang, Elie, 2011. "Impact of Exchange Rate Policy on the Trade of Industrial Products in Sub-Saharan Africa from 1975 to 2007," Review of Applied Economics, Lincoln University, Department of Financial and Business Systems, vol. 7(01-2), pages 1-27, March.
    20. Egert, Balazs & Halpern, Laszlo, 2006. "Equilibrium exchange rates in Central and Eastern Europe: A meta-regression analysis," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(5), pages 1359-1374, May.
    21. Babacar XSENE, 2005. "Impact du fardeau virtuel de la dette sur le taux de change réel d'équilibre des pays en développement," Macroeconomics 0501014, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    22. repec:zbw:bofitp:2004_001 is not listed on IDEAS
    23. BIKAI, J. Landry & OWOUNDI F., Ferdinand, 2016. "Does the choice of an exchange rate regime limits exchange rate misalignments? The example of sub-Saharan African countries," MPRA Paper 89110, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    24. Balázs Égert & Rafañ Kierzenkowski & Rafañ Kierzenkowski & Rafañ Kierzenkowski, 2005. "Asymmetric Fluctuation Bands in the ERM and ERM II : Lessons and Challenges for New EU Member States of Central and Eastern Europe," Eastern European Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(1), pages 82-115, January.
    25. Andrea Saayman, 2010. "A Panel Data Approach To The Behavioural Equilibrium Exchange Rate Of The Zar," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 78(1), pages 57-75, March.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • O53 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Asia including Middle East
    • O54 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Latin America; Caribbean

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