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Die Lebenserwartung in Deutschland - ein Blick in die Zukunft


  • Eckart Bomsdorf


Die Lebenserwartung in Deutschland nimmt kontinuierlich zu. Diese Zunahme ist eine der wesentlichen Ursachen für den demographischen Wandel. Die andere Hauptursache für diese Entwicklung ist die geringe Geburtenzahl. Jede Elterngeneration reproduziert sich gegenwärtig nur zu zwei Dritteln. Eckart Bomsdorf, Universität zu Köln, modelliert die Bevölkerungsentwicklung in Deutschland für die nächsten Jahre und setzt sich mit den Auswirkungen dieser Veränderungen auf die sozialen Sicherungssysteme auseinander.

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  • Eckart Bomsdorf, 2010. "Die Lebenserwartung in Deutschland - ein Blick in die Zukunft," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 63(22), pages 25-32, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:63:y:2010:i:22:p:25-32

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Bernhard Babel & Eckart Bomsdorf & Rafael Schmidt, 2008. "Forecasting German mortality using panel data procedures," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 21(3), pages 541-555, July.
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    1. Eckart Bomsdorf & Jörg Winkelhausen, 2014. "Der demographische Wandel bleibt ungebrochen - trotz höherer Zuwanderung: Bevölkerungsvorausberechnung für Deutschland bis 2060 auf der Basis des Zensus 2011," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 67(22), pages 15-34, November.
    2. Eckart Bomsdorf & Jörg Winkelhausen, 2012. "Deutschlands Bevölkerung bis 2060: Das Geburtendefizit steigt dramatisch - Modellrechnungen auf der Basis der Bevölkerungsdaten von 2011," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 65(19), pages 26-41, October.

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