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Chapter 1: Macroeconomic Conditions and Outlook

Author

Listed:
  • Torben M. Andersen
  • Giuseppe Bertola
  • John Driffill
  • Clemens Fuest
  • Harold James
  • Jan-Egbert Sturm
  • Branko Uroševic

Abstract

The world economy remained in recovery mode last year, despite a slight global slowdown. In the major emerging economies of China, India and Indonesia, expansionary economic policies stimulated growth in the summer of 2016, while recessionary trends in commodity-exporting emerging economies like Russia and Brazil weakened. The pace of global economic expansion is expected to dip slightly over the course of 2017, largely due to a surge in political uncertainty. The euro area economy remains characterised by the massive structural weaknesses of some member states, with developments in private consumption remaining the key driver of its moderate recovery. Overall, growth rates for the world economy in 2017 are still only expected to be about half as high as in the years prior to the global financial crisis.

Suggested Citation

  • Torben M. Andersen & Giuseppe Bertola & John Driffill & Clemens Fuest & Harold James & Jan-Egbert Sturm & Branko Uroševic, 2017. "Chapter 1: Macroeconomic Conditions and Outlook," EEAG Report on the European Economy, CESifo, vol. 0, pages 12-49, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:eeagre:v::y:2017:i::p:12-49
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    Cited by:

    1. Régis Barnichon & Geert Mesters, 2023. "Evaluating Policy Institutions -150 Years of US Monetary Policy-," Working Papers 1410, Barcelona School of Economics.
    2. Regis Barnichon & Geert Mesters, 2020. "Identifying Modern Macro Equations with Old Shocks," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 135(4), pages 2255-2298.
    3. Régis Barnichon & Geert Mesters, 2020. "Optimal policy perturbations," Economics Working Papers 1716, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
    4. Koh, Rachel & Kern, Jordan & Galelli, Stefano, 2022. "Hard-coupling water and power system models increases the complementarity of renewable energy sources," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 321(C).
    5. Prakash, Kushneel & Kumar, Sanjesh, 2021. "“Smoking your child’s job away”: Parental smoking during one’s childhood and the probability of being employed in adulthood," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 86-98.
    6. Budi, Rizki Firmansyah Setya & Sarjiya, & Hadi, Sasongko Pramono, 2021. "Multi-level game theory model for partially deregulated generation expansion planning," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    7. Régis Barnichon & Geert Mesters, 2020. "A Sufficient Statistics Approach for Macro Policy Evaluation," Working Papers 1171, Barcelona School of Economics.
    8. Régis Barnichon & Geert Mesters, 2023. "Evaluating policy institutions -150 years of US monetary policy-," Economics Working Papers 1873, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.

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