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Can Europe live without Russian natural gas?

Author

Listed:
  • Ben McWilliams
  • Giovanni Sgaravatti
  • Simone Tagliapietra
  • Georg Zachmann

Abstract

This paper analyses the implications of a complete halt of natural gas flows from Russia to the European Union (EU). The most challenging time horizon for the EU will be the winter of 2022/23 due to the little time available to roll out necessary measures to diversify the gas supply and develop alternatives to Russian gas. We explore supply availability and constraints as well as demand curtailment options. The challenge of refilling EU gas storage levels at the current abnormal prices for natural gas is also addressed. Finally, we consider the Russian standpoint and whether they would be able to redirect gas flows where European demand to suddenly dry up.

Suggested Citation

  • Ben McWilliams & Giovanni Sgaravatti & Simone Tagliapietra & Georg Zachmann, 2023. "Can Europe live without Russian natural gas?," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(4), pages 897-905, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:worlde:v:46:y:2023:i:4:p:897-905
    DOI: 10.1111/twec.13393
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Hayashi, Masatsugu & Hughes, Larry, 2013. "The Fukushima nuclear accident and its effect on global energy security," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 102-111.
    2. Maltby, Tomas, 2013. "European Union energy policy integration: A case of European Commission policy entrepreneurship and increasing supranationalism," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 435-444.
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