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Optimal dividend policies with random profitability

Author

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  • A. Max Reppen
  • Jean‐Charles Rochet
  • H. Mete Soner

Abstract

We study an optimal dividend problem under a bankruptcy constraint. Firms face a trade‐off between potential bankruptcy and extraction of profits. In contrast to previous works, general cash flow drifts, including Ornstein–Uhlenbeck and CIR processes, are considered. We provide rigorous proofs of continuity of the value function, whence dynamic programming, as well as comparison between discontinuous sub‐ and supersolutions of the Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman equation, and we provide an efficient and convergent numerical scheme for finding the solution. The value function is given by a nonlinear partial differential equation (PDE) with a gradient constraint from below in one direction. We find that the optimal strategy is both a barrier and a band strategy and that it includes voluntary liquidation in parts of the state space. Finally, we present and numerically study extensions of the model, including equity issuance and gambling for resurrection.

Suggested Citation

  • A. Max Reppen & Jean‐Charles Rochet & H. Mete Soner, 2020. "Optimal dividend policies with random profitability," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(1), pages 228-259, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:mathfi:v:30:y:2020:i:1:p:228-259
    DOI: 10.1111/mafi.12223
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    Cited by:

    1. Amlys Syahputra Silalahi & Khaira Amalia Fachrudin & Aryanti Sariartha Sianipar & Kharisya Ayu Effendi, 2021. "Analysis of the Bank Specific Factors, Macroeconomics and Oil Price on Dividend Policy," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(2), pages 165-171.
    2. Giorgio Ferrari & Patrick Schuhmann & Shihao Zhu, 2021. "Optimal Dividends under Markov-Modulated Bankruptcy Level," Papers 2111.03724, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2022.
    3. Menoncin, Francesco & Panteghini, Paolo M. & Regis, Luca & Guerini, Mattia, 2025. "Optimal firm’s dividend and capital structure with mean reverting profitability," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    4. Chonghu Guan & Jiacheng Fan & Zuo Quan Xu, 2023. "Optimal dividend payout with path-dependent drawdown constraint," Papers 2312.01668, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2026.
    5. Ferrari, Giorgio & Schuhmann, Patrick & Zhu, Shihao, 2022. "Optimal dividends under Markov-modulated bankruptcy level," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 146-172.
    6. Elena Bandini & Tiziano De Angelis & Giorgio Ferrari & Fausto Gozzi, 2022. "Optimal dividend payout under stochastic discounting," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(2), pages 627-677, April.
    7. Calvia, Alessandro & Ferrari, Giorgio, 2021. "Nonlinear Filtering of Partially Observed Systems Arising in Singular Stochastic Optimal Control," Center for Mathematical Economics Working Papers 651, Center for Mathematical Economics, Bielefeld University.
    8. Alex S. L. Tse, 2020. "Dividend policy and capital structure of a defaultable firm," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(3), pages 961-994, July.
    9. Décamps, Jean-Paul & Gensbittel, Fabien & Mariotti, Thomas & Villeneuve, Stéphane, 2025. "A Class of Singular Control Problems with Tipping Points," TSE Working Papers 25-1694, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE), revised Feb 2026.
    10. Mingxin Guo & Zuo Quan Xu, 2024. "Stochastic optimal self-path-dependent control: A new type of variational inequality and its viscosity solution," Papers 2412.11383, arXiv.org.
    11. Ferrari, Giorgio & Schuhmann, Patrick & Zhu, Shihao, 2021. "Optimal Dividends under Markov-Modulated Bankruptcy Level," Center for Mathematical Economics Working Papers 657, Center for Mathematical Economics, Bielefeld University.
    12. Stefan Kremsner & Alexander Steinicke & Michaela Szölgyenyi, 2020. "A Deep Neural Network Algorithm for Semilinear Elliptic PDEs with Applications in Insurance Mathematics," Risks, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-18, December.
    13. Hansjorg Albrecher & Jinxia Zhu, 2025. "On effects of present-bias on carbon emission patterns towards a net zero target," Papers 2510.27384, arXiv.org.
    14. Kexin Chen & Kyunghyun Park & Hoi Ying Wong, 2024. "Robust dividend policy: Equivalence of Epstein-Zin and Maenhout preferences," Papers 2406.12305, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2025.
    15. Guillermo Peña, 2021. "The key role of quoted spreads in financial services and transactions," Economics and Business Letters, Oviedo University Press, vol. 10(3), pages 208-216.
    16. Décamps, Jean-Paul & Villeneuve, Stéphane, 2022. "Learning about profitability and dynamic cash management," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).

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