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Divergence Of Opinion And Long-Term Performance Of Initial Public Offerings

Author

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  • Yan Gao
  • Connie X. Mao
  • Rui Zhong

Abstract

Miller's hypothesis posits that divergence of opinion can lead to asset overvaluation and subsequent long-term underperformance in markets (such as initial public offerings [IPOs]) with restricted short-selling. Consistent with this hypothesis, we find that early-market return volatility, a proxy for divergence of opinion, is negatively related to subsequent IPO long-term abnormal returns. This relation holds after accounting for other factors that previous studies suggest affect long-term abnormal returns for IPOs (including another proxy for divergence of opinion). Moreover, we find that this relation is stronger in IPO markets than in non-IPO markets (where short-selling restrictions are less stringent), again consistent with Miller's hypothesis. 2006 The Southern Finance Association and the Southwestern Finance Association.

Suggested Citation

  • Yan Gao & Connie X. Mao & Rui Zhong, 2006. "Divergence Of Opinion And Long-Term Performance Of Initial Public Offerings," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 29(1), pages 113-129.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:jfnres:v:29:y:2006:i:1:p:113-129
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    Cited by:

    1. Chan, Yue-Cheong, 2014. "How does retail sentiment affect IPO returns? Evidence from the internet bubble period," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 235-248.
    2. Md Hamid Uddin & Mahendra Raj, 2012. "Aftermarket Risk And Underpricing Of Initial Public Offers In The Arabian Gulf Countries: An Empirical Analysis," The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 6(3), pages 123-138.
    3. Tomasz Jewartowski & Joanna Lizinska, 2012. "Short- and Long-Term Performance of Polish IPOs," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(2), pages 59-75, March.
    4. Lu, Jing & Chou, Robin K., 2012. "Does the weather have impacts on returns and trading activities in order-driven stock markets? Evidence from China," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 79-93.
    5. Tomasz Jewartowski & Joanna Lizinska, 2012. "Short- and Long-Term Performance of Polish IPOs," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(2), pages 59-75, March.
    6. Sung C. Bae & Kiyoung Chang & Hoje Jo, 2013. "Long-Run Stock and Operating Performance of Underwriter Warrants: Evidence from Seasoned Equity Offerings," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 13(4), pages 473-501, December.
    7. Hsuan-Chi Chen & Wen-Chung Guo, 2010. "Divergence of opinion and initial public offerings," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 34(1), pages 59-79, January.
    8. Wen-Chung Guo & Sy-Ming Guu & Ting-Yun Chang, 2011. "Equilibrium Information Acquisition, Prediction Abilities and Asset Prices," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 37(1), pages 89-111, January.
    9. Deepika Bagchee, 2009. "Investors Adjust Expectations Around Sell-Side Analyst Revisions In Ipo Recommendations," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 32(1), pages 53-70.
    10. Kelly Nianyun Cai & Xiaoquan Jiang & Hei Wai Lee, 2013. "Debt Ipo Waves, Investor Sentiment, Market Conditions, And Issue Quality," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 36(4), pages 435-452, December.

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