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The linkage between the U.S. ethanol market and developing countries’ maize prices: a panel SVAR analysis

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  • Na Hao
  • Peter Pedroni
  • Gregory Colson
  • Michael Wetzstein

Abstract

U.S. ethanol expansion objectives are to improve both energy security and the environmental. However, this expansion has raised issues concerning its detrimental impacts on the price volatility of developing countries’ agricultural commodities. These concerns are addressed by empirically investigating the relations among U.S. ethanol and corn markets with developing countries’ corn prices. Results indicate that U.S. ethanol demand impacts on developing countries’ corn prices vary by country. Further, results reveal that the transmission effects of U.S. ethanol shocks are systematically stronger for countries with higher food import dependency and U.S. food aid.
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  • Na Hao & Peter Pedroni & Gregory Colson & Michael Wetzstein, 2017. "The linkage between the U.S. ethanol market and developing countries’ maize prices: a panel SVAR analysis," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 48(5), pages 629-638, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:agecon:v:48:y:2017:i:5:p:629-638
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/agec.2017.48.issue-5
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    2. Bilgili, Faik & Kocak, Emrah & Kuskaya, Sevda & Bulut, Umit, 2022. "Co-movements and causalities between ethanol production and corn prices in the USA: New evidence from wavelet transform analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 259(C).
    3. Yves, Togba Boboy & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2018. "Swing in the Fed’s balance sheet policy and spillover effects on emerging Asian countries," MPRA Paper 87141, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Rui Mao & Mengying Xing & Xiaohua Yu, 2021. "Quality response to real exchange rate shocks: A panel SVAR analysis on China's agricultural exports," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 52(5), pages 719-731, September.
    5. Jiehong Zhou & Yu Wang & Rui Mao, 2019. "Dynamic and spillover effects of USA import refusals on China's agricultural trade: Evidence from monthly data," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 65(9), pages 425-434.
    6. Valeria Borsellino & Emanuele Schimmenti & Hamid El Bilali, 2020. "Agri-Food Markets towards Sustainable Patterns," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-35, March.
    7. Zheng, Xuyun & Pan, Zheng, 2022. "Responding to import surges: Price transmission from international to local soybean markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 584-597.
    8. Xiangjun Wu & Juan Xu, 2021. "Drivers of food price in China: A heterogeneous panel SVAR approach," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 52(1), pages 67-79, January.

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