IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bjz/ajisjr/2282.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Dividends Payout and Earnings Predictability: Evidence from a Developing Country

Author

Listed:
  • hmed Diab
  • Aref M. Eissa
  • Samir Ibrahim Abdelazim

Abstract

This study investigates the relation between dividends payout and earnings predictability of firms listed on the Egyptian Stock Exchange as an emerging African market. We depend on a sample of firms listed on the Egyptian stock exchange (EGX100) during 2014-2018. To test the hypotheses, we use two independent sample t-test and OLS regression. The principal analysis revealed that dividends payout improves the ability of current earnings to forecast firms’ future earnings. Results also indicated that dividends payout could enhance the ability of current earnings to forecast one year-ahead cash flow. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study that examines the implications of dividends payout on earnings predictability in the Egyptian market. The findings present new insights to investors, researchers, and regulators concerned with agency conflicts of interest within the firm. It also presents evidence on the potential alternative mechanisms for decreasing agency costs in African emerging markets.

Suggested Citation

  • hmed Diab & Aref M. Eissa & Samir Ibrahim Abdelazim, 2022. "Dividends Payout and Earnings Predictability: Evidence from a Developing Country," Academic Journal of Interdisciplinary Studies, Richtmann Publishing Ltd, vol. 11, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:bjz:ajisjr:2282
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.36941/ajis-2022-0121
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.richtmann.org/journal/index.php/ajis/article/view/13040
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.richtmann.org/journal/index.php/ajis/article/view/13040/12632
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/https://doi.org/10.36941/ajis-2022-0121?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Takuma Kochiyama & Ryosuke Nakamura, 2021. "Debt covenants in Japanese loan markets: in comparison with the traditional relationship banking," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 61(1), pages 305-334, March.
    2. He, Wen & Ng, Lilian & Zaiats, Nataliya & Zhang, Bohui, 2017. "Dividend policy and earnings management across countries," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 267-286.
    3. Redhwan Ahmed AL-Dhamari & Ku Nor Izah Ku Ismail, 2014. "An investigation into the effect of surplus free cash flow, corporate governance and firm size on earnings predictability," International Journal of Accounting & Information Management, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 22(2), pages 118-133, April.
    4. Basil Al‐Najjar & Khaled Hussainey, 2009. "The association between dividend payout and outside directorships," Journal of Applied Accounting Research, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 10(1), pages 4-19, May.
    5. Redhwan Ahmed al-Dhamari & Ku Nor Izah Ku Ismail, 2013. "Governance Structure, Ownership Structure and Earnings Predictability: Malaysian Evidence," Asian Academy of Management Journal of Accounting and Finance (AAMJAF), Penerbit Universiti Sains Malaysia, vol. 9(1), pages 1-23.
    6. Penman, Stephen H, 1983. "The Predictive Content of Earnings Forecasts and Dividends," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 38(4), pages 1181-1199, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Olfa Ben Salah & Anis Jarboui, 2023. "Impact of Dividend Policy on Earnings Management and The Moderating Effect of The Board of Directors and The Audit Committees: The French Case," Journal of Accounting and Management Information Systems, Faculty of Accounting and Management Information Systems, The Bucharest University of Economic Studies, vol. 22(3), pages 408-427, September.
    2. Alderson, Michael J. & Betker, Brian L. & Halford, Joseph T., 2021. "Fictitious dividend cuts in the CRSP data," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    3. Hu, Juncheng, 2021. "Do facilitation payments affect earnings management? Evidence from China," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    4. Roni Michaely & Stefano Rossi & Michael Weber & Michael Weber, 2017. "The Information Content of Dividends: Safer Profits, Not Higher Profits," CESifo Working Paper Series 6751, CESifo.
    5. Seifert, Bruce, 1997. "Earnings and dividend changes: An international study," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 7(1), pages 71-81, April.
    6. Renneboog, Luc & Szilagyi, Peter G., 2020. "How relevant is dividend policy under low shareholder protection?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    7. Yang, Bao & Chou, Hsin-I. & Zhao, Jing, 2020. "Innovation or dividend payout: Evidence from China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 180-203.
    8. Ramgopal Venkataraman, 2012. "Discussion of dividend increases and future earnings," Asia-Pacific Journal of Accounting & Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(1), pages 26-29.
    9. Alexandre Garel & Jose Martin-Flores & Arthur Petit-Romec & Ayesha Scott, 2021. "Institutional investor distraction and earnings management," Post-Print hal-03096196, HAL.
    10. Kenneth Khang & Tao‐Hsien Dolly King, 2006. "Does Dividend Policy Relate to Cross‐Sectional Variation in Information Asymmetry? Evidence from Returns to Insider Trades," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 35(4), pages 71-94, December.
    11. Masaki KUSANO, 2022. "Recognition versus Disclosure and Managerial Discretion: Evidence from Japanese Pension Accounting," Discussion papers e-22-008, Graduate School of Economics , Kyoto University.
    12. Novi Swandari Budiarso, 2019. "Agent, Steward, and Dividend Policy," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(3), pages 83-94.
    13. Sabur Mollah, 2011. "Do emerging market firms follow different dividend policies?," Studies in Economics and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 28(2), pages 118-135, June.
    14. Blau, Benjamin M. & Fuller, Kathleen P., 2008. "Flexibility and dividends," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 14(2), pages 133-152, April.
    15. Agnieszka Duraj, 2001. "The Theory and Practice of the Policy of Dividend Payments in Public Companies," Ekonomia journal, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw, vol. 4.
    16. Roger S. Casey & Peter H. Eddey, 1986. "Defence Strategies of Listed Companies Under the Takeover Code," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 11(2), pages 153-172, December.
    17. Ham, Charles G. & Kaplan, Zachary R. & Leary, Mark T., 2020. "Do dividends convey information about future earnings?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(2), pages 547-570.
    18. Renneboog, Luc & Szilagyi, Peter, 2020. "How relevant is dividend policy under low shareholder protection?," Other publications TiSEM 9fab895c-69f2-4056-8df8-8, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    19. Mohd Faizal Jamaludin & Fathyah Hashim, 2017. "Corporate Governance, Institutional Characteristics, and Director Networks in Malaysia," Asian Academy of Management Journal of Accounting and Finance (AAMJAF), Penerbit Universiti Sains Malaysia, vol. 13(2), pages 135-154.
    20. Booth, Laurence & Zhou, Jun, 2017. "Dividend policy: A selective review of results from around the world," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 1-15.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bjz:ajisjr:2282. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Richtmann Publishing Ltd (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.richtmann.org/journal/index.php/ajis .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.