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Ohlson Model Testability:Empirical Tests Findings

  • César Medeiros Cupertino

    (Brasília University)

  • Paulo Roberto Barbosa Lustosa

    (Brasília University)

This paper analyses the empirical testability of Ohlson Model (OM). Themethodology used comprises: (i) exploratory research with regards to the studyobjective; (ii) bibliography research with regards to the applicable procedures; and(iii) qualitative research with regards to problem approach. Literature research hascomprised both origin (dividend discount, assessment of residual income etc) and themodel subjacent theory. The linear information dynamics (LID) and the assessmentformulae were discussed concerning the model internal consistency, as well as theestablishment of the required inputs (parameters and variables). Empirical studieshave been analyzed both in terms of their structuring and their achieved results. Thestudy has concluded that: (1) no consensus has yet been achieved over theappropriate way to measure the parameters of persistency; (2) doubts as to theappropriate way of capturing the parameters w and g , and the variable n preventsverification of the effective explanatory capabilities of the Ohlson Model; (3) empiricaltestability is limited to absences of consistent proxies that may capture persistencyand previsibility of the institution’s future income.

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Article provided by Fucape Business School in its journal Brazilian Business Review.

Volume (Year): 1 (2004)
Issue (Month): 2 (June)
Pages: 136-150

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Handle: RePEc:bbz:fcpbbr:v:1:y:2004:i:2:p:136-150
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  1. Beaver, William H., 1999. "Comments on 'An empirical assessment of the residual income valuation model'," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 26(1-3), pages 35-42, January.
  2. Frankel, Richard & Lee, Charles M. C., 1998. "Accounting valuation, market expectation, and cross-sectional stock returns," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 25(3), pages 283-319, June.
  3. Merton H. Miller & Franco Modigliani, 1961. "Dividend Policy, Growth, and the Valuation of Shares," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 34, pages 411.
  4. Steven N. Kaplan & Richard S. Ruback, 1994. "The Valuation of Cash Flow Forecasts: An Empirical Analysis," NBER Working Papers 4724, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  5. Kothari, S. P. & Zimmerman, Jerold L., 1995. "Price and return models," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 20(2), pages 155-192, September.
  6. Kothari, S. P., 2001. "Capital markets research in accounting," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(1-3), pages 105-231, September.
  7. Dechow, Patricia M. & Hutton, Amy P. & Sloan, Richard G., 1999. "An empirical assessment of the residual income valuation model1," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 26(1-3), pages 1-34, January.
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