IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/asi/ajemod/v2y2014i2p103-114id826.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

ARDL Bounds Testing Approach to Cointegration: A Re-Examination of Augmented Fisher Hypothesis in an Open Economy

Author

Listed:
  • R. Santos Alimi

Abstract

This paper investigated the relationship between expected inflation and nominal interest rates in Nigeria and the extent to which the Fisher effect hypothesis holds, for the period 1970-2012. We attempted to advance the field by testing the traditional closed-economy Fisher hypothesis and an augmented Fisher hypothesis by incorporating the foreign interest rate and nominal effective exchange rate variable in the context of a small open developing economy, such as, Nigeria. We applied ARDL bound testing, vector error correction (VECM) and stability of the functions was also tested by CUSUM and CUSUMSQ. We found that full Fisher hypothesis does not hold but there is a Fisher effect in the case of Nigeria over the period under study. In the context of an open economy, the study showed that aside expected inflation, the international variables - foreign interest and nominal effective exchange rates - contain information that predict the nominal interest rate and it also suggested a feed-back mechanism between nominal interest rate and foreign interest rate. Finally, CUSUM test confirms the long-run relationships between the variables and also shows the stability of the coefficients.

Suggested Citation

  • R. Santos Alimi, 2014. "ARDL Bounds Testing Approach to Cointegration: A Re-Examination of Augmented Fisher Hypothesis in an Open Economy," Asian Journal of Economic Modelling, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 2(2), pages 103-114.
    • Handle: RePEc:asi:ajemod:v:2:y:2014:i:2:p:103-114:id:826
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://archive.aessweb.com/index.php/5009/article/view/826/1273
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Sholih Nugroho Hadi & Rebecca H. Chung, 2022. "Estimation of Demand for Beef Imports in Indonesia: An Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Approach," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-12, August.
    2. Sochi Iwuoha & Joseph I. Onochie, 2023. "Investigating the Relationship Between Canada’s Environmental Quality and GDP-Alternative Measures: An Error Correction Approach," Advances in Management and Applied Economics, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 13(2), pages 1-1.
    3. Nyagweta, David Tinashe, 2020. "Labour immigration, per capita income growth, and unemployment in post-apartheid South Africa," MPRA Paper 105421, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Md. Qamruzzaman & Wei Jianguo & Sharmin Jahan & Zhu Yingjun, 2021. "Financial innovation, human capital development, and economic growth of selected South Asian countries: An application of ARDL approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 4032-4053, July.
    5. Md. Qamruzzaman & Wei Jianguo, 2017. "Financial innovation and economic growth in Bangladesh," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 3(1), pages 1-24, December.
    6. Zaman, Shah & Zaman, Qamar uz & Zhang, Leilei & Wang, Zilong & Jehan, Noor, 2022. "Interaction between agricultural production, female employment, renewable energy, and environmental quality: Policy directions in context of developing economies," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 186(C), pages 288-298.
    7. Naoufel Mahfoudh & Imen Gmach, 2021. "The Effects of Fiscal Effort in Tunisia: An Evidence from the ARDL Bound Testing Approach," Economies, MDPI, vol. 9(4), pages 1-20, December.
    8. Ahmed Imran Hunjra & Hasnain Mehmood & Haroon Bakari, 2018. "Co-Movement between Macroeconomic Variables and Capital Flight," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 8(9), pages 1185-1195, September.
    9. Gulshan Kumar & Shallu Batra, 2023. "Interrelationship Between Human Development, Financial Development and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidences from Indian Economy," Indian Journal of Human Development, , vol. 17(1), pages 60-81, April.
    10. Temidayo James Aransiola & Marcelo Justus & Vania Ceccato, 2023. "Space-time dynamics of cargo theft: evidence from São Paulo, Brazil," Journal of Transportation Security, Springer, vol. 16(1), pages 1-28, December.
    11. George K. Zestos & Wei Guo & Ryan Patnode, 2018. "Determinants of Real Chinese GDP 1978–2014," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 46(2), pages 161-177, June.
    12. BAIG Nida & KHAN Shahbaz & GILAL Naeem Gul & QAYYUM Abdul, 2018. "Do Natural Disasters Cause Economic Growth? An Ardl Bound Testing Approach," Studies in Business and Economics, Lucian Blaga University of Sibiu, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 13(1), pages 5-20, December.
    13. Yixiao Jiang & George K. Zestos & Zachary Timmerman, 2020. "A Vector Error Correction Model for Japanese Real Exports," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 48(3), pages 297-311, September.
    14. Clovis Wendji Miamo & Elvis Dze Achuo, 2021. "Crude Oil Price and Real GDP Growth: An Application of ARDL Bounds Cointegration and Toda-Yamamoto Causality Tests," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 41(3), pages 1615-1626.
    15. Cahyadin, Malik & Sarmidi, Tamat, 2019. "The Impact of Foreign Direct Investment, Labour Force, and External Debt on Economic Growth in Indonesia and Malaysia," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 53(1), pages 171-185.
    16. Karuna Bohini & C. Hussain Yaganti & Mini P. Thomas, 2022. "India’s Demographic Dividend: The Millennials’ Savings Conundrum," Millennial Asia, , vol. 13(1), pages 108-141, April.
    17. Tochukwu Timothy Okoli & Devi Datt Tewari & Eneh George N.O, 2018. "Assessing the Impact of Skilled Labor on Output Growth in South Africa: An ARDL Bound Testing Approach," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 10(2), pages 209-218.
    18. Moumita Paul & Kalluru Siva Reddy, 2022. "US QE and the Indian Bond Market," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 20(1), pages 137-157, March.
    19. Misati, Roseline Nyakerario & Kamau, Anne, 2018. "Do migrant remittances matter for financial development In Kenya?," KBA Centre for Research on Financial Markets and Policy Working Paper Series 30, Kenya Bankers Association (KBA).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:asi:ajemod:v:2:y:2014:i:2:p:103-114:id:826. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Robert Allen (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://archive.aessweb.com/index.php/5009/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.