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Effect of Natural Disasters and Terrorism on Tourism Growth: Evidence from Top Ten Tourist’s Destination

Author

Listed:
  • Anam Aziz

    (Ph.D. Scholar, Department of Economics, The Islamia University of Bahawalpur, Pakistan)

  • Muhammad Atif Nawaz

    (Associate Professor, Department of Economics, The Islamia University of Bahawalpur, Pakistan)

  • Sobia Hanif

    (Ph.D. Scholar, Department of Economics, The Islamia University of Bahawalpur, Pakistan)

Abstract

Tourism is influenced by a wide range of factors and forces including exogenous ones that have no direct link to the tourism industry. Terrorism and natural disasters are two examples of such factors. Individuals, organizations and culture, all are affected by them. This study analyzes the impact of natural disasters and terrorism on tourism growth by using a panel data for the period 1995-2019 collected from a variety of sources. Tourism is the dependent variable whereas natural disasters, terrorism are independent and economic growth, tourism employment, tourism investment and alcohol consumption are the control variables of the study. This study used pooled mean group and robust least square estimation. The findings show that natural disasters and terrorism have varying degrees of impact on tourism growth. While there is a positive outcome in some situations, the overall influence is negative. Findings of the study suggest that understanding the relationship between natural disasters, terrorism, and tourism is beneficial to destination operators who are responsible for rehabilitation, restoration, and promotion.

Suggested Citation

  • Anam Aziz & Muhammad Atif Nawaz & Sobia Hanif, 2022. "Effect of Natural Disasters and Terrorism on Tourism Growth: Evidence from Top Ten Tourist’s Destination," iRASD Journal of Economics, International Research Alliance for Sustainable Development (iRASD), vol. 4(2), pages 375-393, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:ani:irdjoe:v:4:y:2022:i:2:p:375-393
    DOI: 10.52131/joe.2022.0402.0086
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Mehmet Yaya, 2009. "Terrorism And Tourism: The Case Of Turkey," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(6), pages 477-497.
    2. Mete Feridun, 2011. "Impact of terrorism on tourism in Turkey: empirical evidence from Turkey," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(24), pages 3349-3354.
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    4. Korede Ajogbeje & Oluwatosin Adeniyi & Oludele Folarin, 2017. "The effect of terrorism on tourism development in Nigeria," Tourism Economics, , vol. 23(8), pages 1673-1678, December.
    5. Seabra, Claudia & Reis, Pedro & Abrantes, José Luís, 2020. "The influence of terrorism in tourism arrivals: A longitudinal approach in a Mediterranean country," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
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