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Models for Dynamic Panels in Space and Time - an Application to Regional Unemployment in the EU

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J.Paul Elhorst ()

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Abstract

One of the central research questions in modelling space-time data is the right econometric model. At least three problems must be tackled: (i) The observations on each spatial unit might be correlated over time, (ii) The observations at each point in time might be correlated over space, and (iii) The omission of time-invariant and/or spatial-invariant background variables could bias the regression coefficients in a typical cross-section or time-series model. As we have no a priori reasons to believe that one problem is more important than another, this paper presents a general model that encompasses a wide series of simpler models frequently used in the time-series econometrics, spatial econometrics and panel data econometrics literature. A framework is developed to determine which model is the most likely candidate to study space-time data.

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Paper provided by European Regional Science Association in its series ERSA conference papers with number ersa05p81.

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Date of creation: Aug 2005
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Handle: RePEc:wiw:wiwrsa:ersa05p81

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  1. Kelejian, Harry H & Prucha, Ingmar R, 1999. "A Generalized Moments Estimator for the Autoregressive Parameter in a Spatial Model," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 40(2), pages 509-33, May.
  2. J. Paul Elhorst, 2003. "The Mystery of Regional Unemployment Differentials: Theoretical and Empirical Explanations," Journal of Economic Surveys, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 17(5), pages 709-748, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Debabrata Das & Harry H. Kelejian & Ingmar R. Prucha, 2003. "Finite sample properties of estimators of spatial autoregressive models with autoregressive disturbances," Journal of Economics, Springer, vol. 82(1), pages 1-26, 01. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Olivier Jean Blanchard & Lawrence F. Katz, 1992. "Regional Evolutions," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 23(1992-1), pages 1-76. [Downloadable!]
  5. Burridge, Peter & Gordon, Ian Richard, 1981. "Unemployment in the British Metropolitan Labour Areas," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 33(2), pages 274-97, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Fleisher, Belton M & Rhodes, George, 1976. "Unemployment and the Labor Force Participation of Married Men and Women: A Simultaneous Model," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 58(4), pages 398-406, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Hsiao, Cheng & Hashem Pesaran, M. & Kamil Tahmiscioglu, A., 2002. "Maximum likelihood estimation of fixed effects dynamic panel data models covering short time periods," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 109(1), pages 107-150, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  8. Nickell, Stephen J, 1981. "Biases in Dynamic Models with Fixed Effects," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 49(6), pages 1417-26, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. R Dunn, 1982. "Parameter instability in models of local unemployment responses," Environment and Planning A, Pion Ltd, London, vol. 14(1), pages 75-94, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  10. Pesaran, H.M., 2003. "Estimation and Inference in Large Heterogeneous Panels with Cross Section Dependence," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0305, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]
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  11. Jaakko Pehkonen, Hannu Tervo, 1998. "Persistence and Turnover in Regional Unemployment Disparities," Regional Studies, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 32(5), pages 445-458, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  12. Bhargava, Alok & Sargan, J D, 1983. "Estimating Dynamic Random Effects Models from Panel Data Covering Short Time Periods," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 51(6), pages 1635-59, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  13. Ron Martin, 1997. "Regional Unemployment Disparities and their Dynamics," Regional Studies, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 31(3), pages 237-252, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  14. J. D. Byers, 1990. "The Cyclical Sensitivity of Regional Unemployment: An Assessment," Regional Studies, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 24(5), pages 447-453, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  1. Zoltan Acs & Lawrence A. Plummer & Ryan Sutter, 2007. "Penetrating the Knowledge Filter in the Rust Belt," Jena Economic Research Papers in Economics 2007-058, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena, Max-Planck-Institute of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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