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La formation des salaires et le concept de taux de chômage d’équilibre. Une tentative de réconciliation des courbes Wage Setting et de Phillips

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  • Frédéric Reynés

    (Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques)

Abstract

Cette thèse porte sur la formation des salaires et le concept de Taux de Chômage d’Equilibre (TCE). Le premier chapitre s’intéresse à la formation des prix et met en évidence les faiblesses de la représentation walrasienne. Le deuxième est constitué d’une revue de la littérature théorique concernant la formation des salaires. A la différence de la littérature dominante, il montre que la courbe de Phillips augmentée a des fondements microéconomiques plus pertinents que la courbe Wage Setting (WS) en niveau. Le troisième chapitre porte sur les propriétés des équations de salaire notamment en termes de TCE. Après avoir montré que la courbe WS pouvait être interprétée comme un cas particulier de la courbe de Phillips, les implications de la spécification de l’équation de salaire sur le long terme des modèles macroéconomiques sont analysées au moyen d’une maquette simulée. Le quatrième chapitre clarifie la problématique chocs / institutions souvent mise en avant pour expliquer le phénomène du chômage dans l’OCDE. Après avoir mis en évidence certaines faiblesses de l’approche réduite en données de panel, cette problématique est testée par l’approche structurelle. Sont alors présentées les estimations d’équations de prix et de salaire et de TCE pour six pays (Allemagne, Espagne, Etats-Unis, France, Pays-Bas et Royaume-Uni) pour la période allant de 1970 à la fin des années 1990.Enfin, le cinquième chapitre confronte théoriquement et empiriquement les approches structurelle et réduite (TV-NAIRU) d’estimation du TCE et applique la technique du filtre de Kalman pour estimer les TCE français et américain par ces deux approches.

Suggested Citation

  • Frédéric Reynés, 2006. "La formation des salaires et le concept de taux de chômage d’équilibre. Une tentative de réconciliation des courbes Wage Setting et de Phillips," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/f4rshpf3v1u, Sciences Po.
  • Handle: RePEc:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/f4rshpf3v1umfa09lat19ap14
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    References listed on IDEAS

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