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Structural Estimates of Equilibrium Unemployment in Six OECD Economies

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Author Info
Albert van der Horst (CPB The Hague (Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis))

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Abstract

In Europe, neither unemployment rates nor institutions are uniform. In the EMU, countries have coordinated their monetary policy, and fiscal policy might follow. Does convergence in fiscal policy imply that unemployment rates will converge, too, or is diversified fiscal policy desirable? An answer to this question requires insight into the dependence on fiscal policy of the unemployment rate in equilibrium. This study estimates the equilibrium rate of unemployment and shows that it has been affected significantly by taxes and benefits. Uniform fiscal policy would not, however, harmonise the unemployment rates because the impact of policy varies widely across the OECD economies.

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Paper provided by European Network of Economic Policy Research Institutes in its series Economics Working Papers with number 022.

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Length: 36 pages
Date of creation: Jul 2003
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Handle: RePEc:epr:enepwp:022

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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Kari O. E. Alho & Nuutti Nikula, 2006. "Productivity, Empoyment and Taxes - Evidence on the Potential Trade-offs and Impacts in the EU," Discussion Papers 1054, The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy. [Downloadable!]
  2. R.A. de Mooij, 2004. "Towards efficient unemployment insurance in the Netherlands," CPB Memoranda 100, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis. [Downloadable!]
  3. Patrick Minford & Ruthira Naraidoo, 2009. "Vicious and virtuous circles--The political economy of unemployment," Working Papers 200914, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Darius Hinz & Camille Logeay, 2006. "Forecasting Employment for Germany," IMK Working Paper 01-2006, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute, revised Jan 2006. [Downloadable!]
  5. Kari Alho & Nuutti Nikula, 2007. "Productivity, Employment and Taxes - A SVAR Analysis of Trade-offs and Impacts," Discussion Papers 1074, The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy. [Downloadable!]
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