Time-varying fiscal policy in the U.S
AbstractTo investigate time heterogeneity in the e¤ects of fiscal policy in the U.S., we use a non-recursive, Blanchard and Perotti-like structural VAR with time-varying parameters, estimated through Bayesian simulation over the 1965:2-2009:2 period. Our evidence suggests that fiscal policy has lost some capacity to stimulate output but that this trend is more pronounced for taxes net of transfers than for government expenditure, whose e¤ectiveness declines only slightly. Fiscal multipliers keep conventional signs throughout. An investigation of changes in ?scal policy conduct indicates an increase in the countercyclical activism of net taxes over time, which appears to have reached a maximum during the 2008-09 recession.
Download InfoIf you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department in its series Working Papers with number w201021.
Date of creation: 2010
Date of revision:
Other versions of this item:
- C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Bayesian Analysis: General
- E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
- E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2010-11-06 (All new papers)
- NEP-CBA-2010-11-06 (Central Banking)
- NEP-PUB-2010-11-06 (Public Finance)
You can help add them by filling out this form.
CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
- Virkola, Tuomo, 2014. "Exchange Rate Regime, Fiscal Foresight and the Effectiveness of Fiscal Policy in a Small Open Economy," ETLA Reports 20, The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy.
- Ioannis Praggidis & Periklis Gogas & Vasilios Plakandaras & Theophilos Papadimitriou, 2013.
"Fiscal shocks and asymmetric effects: a comparative analysis,"
- Pragidis, Ioannis & Gogas, Periklis & Plakandaras, Vasilios & Papadimitriou, Theophilos, 2013. "Fiscal shocks and asymmetric effects: a comparative analysis," DUTH Research Papers in Economics 8-2013, Democritus University of Thrace, Department of Economics.
- Michal Franta & Jan Libich & Petr StehlÃk, 2012.
"Tracking Monetary-Fiscal Interactions across Time and Space,"
CAMA Working Papers
2012-40, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Michal Franta & Jan Libich & Petr Stehlik, 2012. "Tracking Monetary-Fiscal Interactions Across Time and Space," Working Papers 2012/06, Czech National Bank, Research Department.
- Ricardo Silva & Vitor Manuel Carvalho & Ana Paula Ribeiro, 2013. "How large are fiscal multipliers? A panel-data VAR approach for the Euro area," FEP Working Papers 500, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
- Periklis Gogas & Ioannis Pragidis, 2013.
"Asymmetric Fiscal Policy Shocks,"
Working Paper Series
07_13, The Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Gogas, Periklis & Pragidis, Ioannis, 2013. "Asymmetric Fiscal Policy Shocks," MPRA Paper 46680, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Gogas, Periklis & Pragidis, Ioannis, 2013. "Asymmetric Fiscal Policy Shocks," DUTH Research Papers in Economics 4-2013, Democritus University of Thrace, Department of Economics.
- Eddie Gerba & Klemens Hauzenberger, 2013. "Estimating US Fiscal and Monetary Interactions in a Time Varying VAR," Studies in Economics 1303, Department of Economics, University of Kent.
- Michal Franta & Roman Horvath & Marek Rusnak, 2014.
"Evaluating changes in the monetary transmission mechanism in the Czech Republic,"
Springer, vol. 46(3), pages 827-842, May.
- Michal Franta & Roman Horvath & Marek Rusnak, 2011. "Evaluating Changes in the Monetary Transmission Mechanism in the Czech Republic," Working Papers 2011/13, Czech National Bank, Research Department.
- Roman Horváth & Michal Franta & Marek Rusnák, 2012. "Evaluating Changes in the Monetary Transmission Mechanism in the Czech Republic," Working Papers IES 2012/11, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Apr 2012.
- Schalck, Christophe, 2012. "Investigating heterogeneity in European fiscal behaviours," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(4), pages 383-390.
- Arratibel, Olga & Michaelis, Henrike, 2014. "The impact of monetary policy and exchange rate shocks in Poland: evidence from a time-varying VAR," Working Paper Series 1636, European Central Bank.
- Valerie A. Ramey, 2011. "Can Government Purchases Stimulate the Economy?," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 49(3), pages 673-85, September.
- Arratibel, Olga & Michaelis, Henrike, 2013. "The Impact of Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Shocks in Poland: Evidence from a Time-Varying VAR," Discussion Papers in Economics 21088, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
- Manuel Coutinho Pereira, 2012. "Revisiting the effectiveness of monetary and fiscal policy in the US, measured on the basis of structural VARs," Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (DEE-NTDD).
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.