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Long-run cointegration between foreign direct investment, direct investment and unemployment in South Africa

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  • Chella, Namapsa
  • Phiri, Andrew

Abstract

The primary objective of this paper is to investigate the relationship between foreign direct investment, domestic investment and unemployment in South Africa. Our mode of empirical investigation is the autoregressive distributive lag (ARDL) cointegration model which provides the advantage of accommodating for a mixture of levels stationary and difference stationary time series variables and is applied to quarterly data collected between 1970 and 2014. Our empirical results point to the existence of a negative effect of domestic investments on unemployment levels whereas foreign direct investment appears to have no significant effect on reducing unemployment levels. Collectively, these results hold crucial implications for South African policymakers.

Suggested Citation

  • Chella, Namapsa & Phiri, Andrew, 2017. "Long-run cointegration between foreign direct investment, direct investment and unemployment in South Africa," MPRA Paper 82371, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:82371
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    FDI; domestic investment; unemployment; ARDL; cointegration; South Africa; developing country.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity

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