The Impact of the Federal Budget Deficit on the Nominal Interest Rate Yield on US Treasury Notes, 1979-2001
AbstractThis study empirically examines the impact of the federal government budget on the nominal interest rate yield on US Treasury notes over the 1979-2001 period. In a system that includes the monetary base, the civilian labor force unemployment rate, the ex ante real 52 week Treasury bill rate, and the percentage growth rate of the S&P 500 stock index, Error-Corrections Model (ECM) estimation finds that the total federal budget deficit acted to increase the nominal interest rate yield on seven year US Treasury notes over the study period.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 49400.
Date of creation: 08 Sep 2003
Date of revision:
Publication status: Published in The ICFAI Journal of Applied Economics 2.3(2004): pp. 7-18
federal budget deficit; error-correction model; interest rate yield on seven-year Treasury notes;
Other versions of this item:
- Richard J Cebula, 2004. "The Impact of the Federal Budget Deficit on the Nominal Interest Rate Yield on U.S. Treasury Notes, 1979-2001," The IUP Journal of Applied Economics, IUP Publications, vol. 0(2), pages 7-18, March.
- E4 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates
- E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
- E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy
- G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets
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- Cebula, Richard, 1996. "An Empirical Note on the Impact of the Federal Budget Deficit on Ex Ante Real Long-Term, Interest Rates, 1973-1995," MPRA Paper 51414, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Evans, Paul, 1985. "Do Large Deficits Produce High Interest Rates?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 75(1), pages 68-87, March.
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