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Federal Government Budget Deficits and Interest Rates: An Empirical Analysis for the United States, 1955-1984

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  • Cebula, Richard J

Abstract

This paper uses annual data to examine the impact of federal budget deficits in the United States upon interest rates. The model is framed in a loanable funds model. The model allows for international capital flows, inflationary expectations, and other factors. The finding is that federal budget deficits exercise a positive and significant impact upon a variety of interest rates.

Suggested Citation

  • Cebula, Richard J, 1988. "Federal Government Budget Deficits and Interest Rates: An Empirical Analysis for the United States, 1955-1984," Public Finance = Finances publiques, , vol. 43(3), pages 337-348.
    • Handle: RePEc:pfi:pubfin:v:43:y:1988:i:3:p:337-48
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    Cited by:

    1. Maarten Allers & Jakob De Haan & Flip De Kam, 1998. "Using Survey Data To Test for Ricardian Equivalence," Public Finance Review, , vol. 26(6), pages 565-582, November.
    2. R.J. Cebula, 1997. "Government deficit, ex post real long-term interest rates and causality," BNL Quarterly Review, Banca Nazionale del Lavoro, vol. 50(202), pages 325-336.
    3. Richard Cebula, 1997. "The impact of net international capital inflows on nominal long-term interest rates in France," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 25(2), pages 179-190, June.
    4. Richard J Cebula, 2004. "The Impact of the Federal Budget Deficit on the Nominal Interest Rate Yield on U.S. Treasury Notes, 1979-2001," The IUP Journal of Applied Economics, IUP Publications, vol. 0(2), pages 7-18, March.
    5. Cebula, Richard & McGrath, Richard, 2006. "Identifying Determinants of the Cost of Long Term Borrowing for U.S. Firms: Insights for Management," MPRA Paper 49647, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Richard Cebula, 2003. "Budget deficits and interest rates in Germany," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 9(1), pages 64-68, February.
    7. Cebula, Richard & McGrath, Richard & Toma, Michael, 2005. "Impact of the Primary Budget Deficit on the Nominal Long Term Interest Rate Yield on Tax Free Municipal Bonds," MPRA Paper 61411, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Belton, Willie & Cebula, Richard, 1994. "International Capital Flows, Federal Budget Deficits, and Interest Rates, 1971-1984," MPRA Paper 52345, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Cebula, Richard & Foley, Maggie, 2012. "Recent Evidence on the Impact of Federal Government Budget Deficits on the Nominal Long Term Mortgage Interest Rate in the U.S," MPRA Paper 53691, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Richard Cebula, 1999. "Budget deficits, capital flows, and long-term interest rates: Cointegration findings for the united kingdom," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 5(4), pages 489-495, November.
    11. Perveen, Asma & Munir, Kashif, 2017. "Impact of Total, Internal and External Government Debt on Interest Rate in Pakistan," MPRA Paper 83427, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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