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محددات التضخم في سورية خلال الفترة 1970-2004
[Determinants of Inflation in Syria During the Period 1970-2004]

Author

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  • ALmosabbeh, Imadeddin

Abstract

The aim of the study is to measure the effect of several economic variables on inflation in Syria, by using cointegration and causality tests as a method. The variables are specify depending on the economic literature that has treated this field. This study concludes that there is a long run effect between the inflation determinants (economic deflation indicators and the monetary policy indicator) and the inflation in Syria. In addition, there are long and short run causality relations runs from the inflation determinants into inflation indicator (CPI). يهدف هذا البحث إلى قياس أثر بعض المتغيرات الاقتصادية في التضخم في سورية. ويستخدم البحث في قياس هذا الأثر أسلوب التكامل المشترك واختبار السببية. وقد تم تحديد المتغيرات المؤثرة في التضخم (الرقم القياسي للأسعار) بالاستناد إلى الأدبيات الاقتصادية التي تناولت هذا الموضوع. وقد توصل البحث إلى أن هناك أثر طويل الأجل بين كل من مؤشر الركود الاقتصادي ومؤشر السياسة النقدية في التضخم في سورية. وكذلك تبين أن هناك علاقة سببية طويلة الأجل وقصيرة الأجل متجهة من هذين المؤشرين إلى مؤشر التضخم.

Suggested Citation

  • ALmosabbeh, Imadeddin, 2006. "محددات التضخم في سورية خلال الفترة 1970-2004 [Determinants of Inflation in Syria During the Period 1970-2004]," MPRA Paper 46982, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:46982
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Osterwald-Lenum, Michael, 1992. "A Note with Quantiles of the Asymptotic Distribution of the Maximum Likelihood Cointegration Rank Test Statistics," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 54(3), pages 461-472, August.
    2. Jones, Jonathan D. & Joulfaian, David, 1991. "Federal govemment expenditures and revenues in the early years of the American republic: Evidence from 1792 to 1860," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 13(1), pages 133-155.
    3. Said, Said E., 1991. "Unit-roots test for time-series data with a linear time trend," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 47(2-3), pages 285-303, February.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Monetary Policy; Syrian Economy; Conitegration and Causality Test. محددات التضخم؛ مؤشر الركود الاقتصادي؛ السياسة النقدية؛ الاقتصاد السوري؛ التكامل المشترك واختبار السببية.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E64 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Incomes Policy; Price Policy

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