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Hechos Estilizados de la Economía Ecuatoriana: El Ciclo Económico 1965-2008
[Stylized Facts of the Ecuadorian Economy: The Economic Chicle 1965-2008]

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Author Info

  • Gachet, Ivan
  • Maldonado, Diego
  • Oliva, Nicolas
  • Ramirez, Jose

Abstract

This paper presents some short-term and long term stylized facts of the Ecuadorian economy, and gives a brief explanation of the circumstances under which these empirical regularities developed. To do so, we analyze macroeconomic aggregates from the real and fiscal sectors, and examine price variables in relation to the economic cycle. It is difficult have a high quality quarterly series in real terms for all variables so we use both quarterly and monthly time series. In the case of monthly data, we make use of the Index of Economic Activity (IDEAC, Spanish acronym) as a proxy for the GDP. The ultimate goal of this paper is to identify the interrelation of key macroeconomic variables and to lay down the empirical basis for the development of dynamic models consistent with the behavior of the Ecuadorian economy.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 30280.

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Date of creation: Mar 2011
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:30280

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Keywords: Hechos Estilizados; Ciclos Económicos; Filtro Hodrick y Prescott; Ecuador;

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References

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  1. César Calderón & Rodrigo Fuentes., 2011. "Characterizing the Business Cycles of Emerging Economies," Documentos de Trabajo 371, Instituto de Economia. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile..
  2. Norman Loayza & Humberto Lopez & Angel Ubide, 1999. "Comovement and Macroeconomic Interdependence: Evidence for Latin America, East Asia, and Europe," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 60, Central Bank of Chile.
  3. Gachet, Ivan & Girjalva, Diego & Rivadeneira, Ana & Uribe, Carlos, 2007. "Un Marco de Consistencia Macroeconómica para la Economía Ecuatoriana: Un Regreso a los Fundamentos
    [Macroeconomic Consistency Framework for the Ecuadorian Economy: Getting Back to Fundamentals]
    ," MPRA Paper 16799, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  4. Rómulo A. Chumacero & J. Rodrigo Fuentes, 2002. "On the determinants of the Chilean Economic Growth," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 134, Central Bank of Chile.
  5. Juan Carlos Parra Alvarez, . "Hechos estilizados de la economía colombiana: fundamentos empíricos para la construcción y evaluación de un modelo DSGE," Borradores de Economia 509, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
  6. Jorge Enrique Restrepo & Claudio Soto, 2004. "Regularidades Empíricas de la Economía Chilena," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 301, Central Bank of Chile.
  7. Agenor, Pierre-Richard & McDermott, C John & Prasad, Eswar S, 2000. "Macroeconomic Fluctuations in Developing Countries: Some Stylized Facts," World Bank Economic Review, World Bank Group, vol. 14(2), pages 251-85, May.
  8. Mauricio Avella Gómez & Leopoldo Fergusson T., 2004. "El ciclo económico - Enfoques e ilustraciones - Los ciclos económicos de Estados Unidos y Colombia," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 002465, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.
  9. Hausmann, Ricardo & Klinger, Bailey, 2006. "Structural Transformation and Patterns of Comparative Advantage in the Product Space," Working Paper Series rwp06-041, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government.
  10. Kydland, Finn E & Prescott, Edward C, 1982. "Time to Build and Aggregate Fluctuations," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(6), pages 1345-70, November.
  11. Long, John B, Jr & Plosser, Charles I, 1983. "Real Business Cycles," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 91(1), pages 39-69, February.
  12. Luis Fernando Melo Velandia & Martha Alicia Misas Arango, 2004. "Modelos Estructurales de Inflación en Colombia: Estimación a través de Mínimos Cuadrados Flexibles," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 003244, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.
  13. Edmund S. Phelps, 2007. "Macroeconomics for a Modern Economy," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 97(3), pages 543-561, June.
  14. Celsa Machado, 2001. "Measuring Business Cycles: The Real Business Cycle Approach and Related Controversies," FEP Working Papers 107, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
  15. Gachet, Ivan & Maldonado, Diego & Pérez, Wilson, 2008. "Determinantes de la Inflación en una Economía Dolarizada: El Caso Ecuatoriano
    [Determinants of Inflation in a Dollarized Economy: The Case of Ecuador]
    ," MPRA Paper 17101, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  16. Achim Zeileis & Friedrich Leisch & Kurt Hornik & Christian Kleiber, . "strucchange: An R Package for Testing for Structural Change in Linear Regression Models," Journal of Statistical Software, American Statistical Association, vol. 7(i02).
  17. Luis Eduardo Arango T. & Mauricio Castillo, 1999. "¿Son Estilizadas Las Regularidades Del Ciclo Económico?Una Breve Revisión De La Literatura," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 003835, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.
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Citations

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Cited by:
  1. Carrillo, Paul A., 2010. "“Modelo Dinámico para Análisis y Pronóstico del Producto Interno Bruto”: Un Enfoque Fiscal Aplicando un Modelo SVAR
    [Dynamic Model for Analysis and Forecast of Gross Domestic Product': A Fis
    ," MPRA Paper 32005, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  2. Carrillo, Paul A., 2010. "Efectos Macroeconómicos de la Política Fiscal en Ecuador 1993-2009
    [Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Policy in Ecuador 1993-2009]
    ," MPRA Paper 34436, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Oct 2011.

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