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On the stability of endogenous growth models: an evaluation of the agents’ response to output fluctuations

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Author Info
Gomes, Orlando

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Abstract

This paper presents three modified versions of the simple AK endogenous growth model. Such frameworks stress the role of consumers’ sentiment, the impact of fiscal policy and the effect of non-optimal investment decisions made by firms. In all the cases, today’s decisions take into consideration the economic performance of the previous period; in the first case, households react pro-cyclically to the output path; in the second case, a counter-cyclical fiscal policy is considered; and in the third case, firms adopt a pro-cyclical behaviour concerning investment choices. We study the stability properties of the three models and conclude that, on each one of them, a saddle-path stable equilibrium exists.

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Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 2891.

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Date of creation: Apr 2007
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:2891

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Related research
Keywords: Endogenous growth Consumers’ sentiment Fiscal policy Investment Output gap Saddle-path stability.

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C62 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods and Programming - - - Existence and Stability Conditions of Equilibrium
O41 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models

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    Other versions:
  2. repec:cup:macdyn:v:6:y:2002:i:5:p:633-64 is not listed on IDEAS
  3. Jang-Ting Guo & Kevin Lansing, 1999. "Fiscal policy, increasing returns, and endogenous fluctuations," Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory 99-08, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. [Downloadable!]
  4. Alberto Alesina & Guido Tabellini, 2005. "Why is fiscal policy often procyclical?," Harvard Institute of Economic Research Working Papers 2090, Harvard - Institute of Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  5. Michal Mackiewicz, 2006. "Determinants of Cyclicality of Fiscal Surpluses in The OECD Countries," Working Papers 0101, Institute of Economics, University of Lodz, revised Feb 2007. [Downloadable!]
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  7. Jason Bram & Sydney Ludvigson, 1998. "Does consumer confidence forecast household expenditure? a sentiment index horse race," Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, issue Jun, pages 59-78. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  8. Backus, David K & Kehoe, Patrick J, 1992. "International Evidence of the Historical Properties of Business Cycles," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 82(4), pages 864-88, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  9. Karsten Staehr, 2007. "Fiscal policies and business cycles in an enlarged euro area," Bank of Estonia Working Papers 2007-03, Bank of Estonia, revised 08 Mar 2007. [Downloadable!]
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  12. Dion, David Pascal, 2006. "Does Consumer Confidence Forecast Household Spending? The Euro Area Case," MPRA Paper 911, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
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  16. Khoon Lek Goh, 2003. "Does Consumer Confidence Forecast Consumption Expenditure in New Zealand?," Treasury Working Paper Series 03/22, New Zealand Treasury. [Downloadable!]
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  21. Mark Doms & Norman Morin, 2004. "Consumer sentiment, the economy, and the news media," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2004-51, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
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  22. Bob McNabb & Karl Taylor, 2002. "Business Cycles and the Role of Confidence: Evidence from Europe," Discussion Papers in Economics 02/3, Department of Economics, University of Leicester. [Downloadable!]
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  23. Perry, Guillermo, 2003. "Can fiscal rules help reduce macroeconomic volatility in the Latin America and Caribbean Region?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 3080, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
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