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Dynamic Trading Strategies and Portfolio Choice

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  • Ravi Bansal
  • Magnus Dahlquist
  • Campbell R. Harvey

Abstract

Traditional mean-variance efficient portfolios do not capture the potential wealth creation opportunities provided by predictability of asset returns. We propose a simple method for constructing optimally managed portfolios that exploits the possibility that asset returns are predictable. We implement these portfolios in both single and multi-period horizon settings. We compare alternative portfolio strategies which include both buy-and-hold and fixed weight portfolios. We find that managed portfolios can significantly improve the mean-variance trade-off, in particular, for investors with investment horizons of three to five years. Also, in contrast to popular advice, we show that the buy-and-hold strategy should be avoided.

Suggested Citation

  • Ravi Bansal & Magnus Dahlquist & Campbell R. Harvey, 2004. "Dynamic Trading Strategies and Portfolio Choice," NBER Working Papers 10820, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:10820
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Ulf Axelson & Per Strömberg & Michael S. Weisbach, 2009. "Why Are Buyouts Levered? The Financial Structure of Private Equity Funds," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 64(4), pages 1549-1582, August.
    2. Caicedo-Llano, Juliana & Dionysopoulos, Thomas, 2008. "Market integration: A risk-budgeting guide for pure alpha investors," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 18(4), pages 313-327, October.
    3. Makarov, Dmitry & Schornick, Astrid V., 2010. "A note on wealth effect under CARA utility," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 7(3), pages 170-177, September.
    4. Peñaranda, Francisco & Sentana, Enrique, 2016. "Duality in mean-variance frontiers with conditioning information," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(PB), pages 762-785.
    5. Qi Liu & Ka Po Kung, 2023. "Optimality of Buy-and-Hold Strategies," Eurasian Journal of Business and Management, Eurasian Publications, vol. 11(1), pages 32-45.
    6. Ulf Axelson & Sandeep Baliga, 2009. "Liquidity and Manipulation of Executive Compensation Schemes," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 22(10), pages 3907-3939, October.
    7. van Hemert, Otto, 2006. "Life-Cycle Housing and Portfolio Choice with Bond Markets," SIFR Research Report Series 44, Institute for Financial Research.
    8. Chiang, I-Hsuan Ethan, 2015. "Modern portfolio management with conditioning information," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 114-134.
    9. Suleyman Basak & Georgy Chabakauri, 2010. "Dynamic Mean-Variance Asset Allocation," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 23(8), pages 2970-3016, August.
    10. Fedyk, Yuriy & Walden, Johan, 2007. "High-Speed Natural Selection in Financial Markets with Large State Spaces," SIFR Research Report Series 52, Institute for Financial Research.
    11. Fletcher, Jonathan & Basu, Devraj, 2016. "An examination of the benefits of dynamic trading strategies in U.K. closed-end funds," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 109-118.
    12. Peñaranda, Francisco, 2009. "Understanding portfolio efficiency with conditioning information," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 24415, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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