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Dynamic Seemingly Unrelated Cointegrating Regression

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Author Info
Nelson C. Mark
Masao Ogaki
Donggyu Sul

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Abstract

Multiple cointegrating regressions are frequently encountered in empirical work as, for example, in the analysis of panel data. When the equilibrium errors are correlated across equations, the seemingly unrelated regression estimation strategy can be applied to cointegrating regressions to obtain asymptotically ecient estimators. While non-parametric methods for seemingly unrelated cointegrating regressions have been proposed in the literature, in practice, specification of the estimation problem is not always straightforward. We propose Dynamic Seemingly Unrelated Regression (DSUR) estimators which can be made fully parametric and are computationally straightforward to use. We study the asymptotic and small sample properties of the DSUR estimators both for heterogeneous and homogenous cointegrating vectors. The estimation techniques are then applied to analyze two long-standing problems in international economics. Our first application revisits the issue of whether the forward exchange rate is an unbiased predictor of the future spot rate. Our second application revisits the problem of estimating long-run correlations between national investment and national saving.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Technical Working Papers with number 0292.

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Date of creation: Apr 2003
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Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberte:0292

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C0 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General
C3 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables

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References listed on IDEAS
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Full references

Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Catherine L. Mann & Katharina Plück, 2005. "The US Trade Deficit: A Disaggregated Perspective," Peterson Institute Working Paper Series WP05-11, Peterson Institute for International Economics. [Downloadable!]
  2. Sean Holly & M. Hashem Pesaran & Takashi Yamagata, 2006. "A Spatio-Temporal Model of House Prices in the US," IZA Discussion Papers 2338, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Breitung, J. & Pesaran, M.H., 2005. "Unit Roots and Cointegration in Panels," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0535, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Cörvers, Frank & Dupuy, Arnaud, 2009. "Estimating Employment Dynamics across Occupations and Sectors of Industry," IZA Discussion Papers 4428, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
  5. João Sousa Andrade, 2006. "Mobilidade do Capital e Sustentabilidade Externa: uma aplicação da tese de F-H a Portugal (1910-2004)," GEMF Working Papers 2006-04, GEMF - Faculdade de Economia, Universidade de Coimbra. [Downloadable!]
  6. Cörvers Frank & Dupuy Arnaud, 2006. "Explaining the Occupational Structure of Dutch Sectors of Industry, 1988-2003," Working Papers 005, Maastricht : ROA,Research Centre for Education and the Labour Market. [Downloadable!]
  7. Christoffer Kok Sorensen & Thomas Werner, 2006. "Bank interest rate pass-through in the euro area: a cross country comparison," Working Paper Series 580, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
  8. Chernookiy Valery, 2005. "Adjustment to the Asymmetric Shocks and Currency Unions: the Case of Belarus and Russia," EERC Working Paper Series 05-07e, EERC Research Network, Russia and CIS. [Downloadable!]
  9. Cörvers Frank & Dupuy Arnaud, 2009. "Estimating employment dynamics across occupations and sectors of industry," Research Memoranda 014, Maastricht : ROA, Research Centre for Education and the Labour Market. [Downloadable!]
  10. Di Iorio, Francesca & Fachin, Stefano, 2008. "A note on the estimation of long-run relationships in dependent cointegrated panels," MPRA Paper 12053, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  11. Basher, Syed A. & Fachin, Stefano, 2008. "The long-term decline of internal migration in Canada – Ontario as a case study," MPRA Paper 6685, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
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  15. Jerry Coakley & Ana-Maria Fuertes & Fabio Spagnolo, 2004. "The Feldstein-Horioka puzzle is not as bad as you think," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2003 17, Money Macro and Finance Research Group. [Downloadable!]
  16. Westerlund, Joakim, 2003. "Feasible Estimation in Cointegrated Panels," Working Papers 2003:12, Lund University, Department of Economics, revised 10 Nov 2003.
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