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The determinants of abandoned M&As in the banking sector

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  • Caiazza, Stefano
  • Pozzolo, Alberto Franco

Abstract

The consolidation process that characterized the banking industry in the last decades has been widely analyzed, but very few studies have investigated what are the reasons why a number of announced deals were not concluded. We fill this gap in the literature analyzing the characteristics of abandoned M&A operations in a large sample that includes all the major domestic and cross-border deals in the banking sector announced worldwide between 1992 and 2010. The results show that hostile operations, deals of larger size and deals implying swaps of shares are less likely to be concluded. Controlling for size, cross-border operations are more likely to be successfully concluded, contrary to the expectation that the presence of strong cultural barriers and regulations, implicit and explicit, could determine a higher abandonment ratio. Finally, deals announced in countries with stronger supervisory authorities have a higher probability of failure.

Suggested Citation

  • Caiazza, Stefano & Pozzolo, Alberto Franco, 2014. "The determinants of abandoned M&As in the banking sector," Economics & Statistics Discussion Papers esdp14074, University of Molise, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:mol:ecsdps:esdp14074
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    Cited by:

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    2. Rexford Attah‐Boakye & Yilmaz Guney & Elvis Hernandez‐Perdomo & Johnathan Mun, 2021. "Why do some merger and acquisitions deals fail? A global perspective," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 4734-4776, July.
    3. Lee, Kangbok & Joo, Sunghoon & Baik, Hyeoncheol & Han, Sumin & In, Joonhwan, 2020. "Unbalanced data, type II error, and nonlinearity in predicting M&A failure," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 271-287.
    4. Sailesh Tanna & Ibrahim Yousef & Matthias Nnadi, 2020. "Probability of mergers and acquisitions deal failure," Journal of Financial Economic Policy, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 13(1), pages 1-30, May.
    5. ten Brug, Hans & Rao Sahib, Padma, 2018. "Abandoned deals: the merger and acquisition process in the electricity and gas industry," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 230-239.
    6. Nurhazrina Mat Rahim & Ruhani Hj. Ali, 2018. "The Role of Country-Level Differences in Influencing ASEAN Firms’ Cross-Border Mergers and Acquisitions (CBMAs) Success," Capital Markets Review, Malaysian Finance Association, vol. 26(1), pages 36-55.
    7. Myznikava, Katsiaryna (Katherine) & Farinha, Jorge, 2023. "The impact of political freedoms on cross-border M&A abandonment likelihood," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 112-138.
    8. Deepak Kumar & Keya Sengupta & Mousumi Bhattacharya, 2023. "M&A Negotiations: Role of Negotiation Process, Ownership and Advisors on Deal Completion," Group Decision and Negotiation, Springer, vol. 32(5), pages 1083-1115, October.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bank M&As; Abandoned deals;

    JEL classification:

    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G34 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Mergers; Acquisitions; Restructuring; Corporate Governance

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