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Potential Output Estimations for Hungary: A Survey of Different Approaches

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Author Info
Szilárd Benk () (Magyar Nemzeti Bank)
Zoltán M. Jakab () (Magyar Nemzeti Bank)
Gábor Vadas () (Magyar Nemzeti Bank)

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Abstract

This paper is a comprehensive analysis of Hungary’s potential output. Since the concept of potential output is not unique, we present various interpretations of potential GDP, along with a large set of techniques for estimating it. Various estimates are presented and robustness analyses are performed. Finally, an illustrative scenario is outlined for the forthcoming few years.

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File URL: http://english.mnb.hu/Resource.aspx?ResourceID=mnbfile&resourcename=op_43
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Magyar Nemzeti Bank (The Central Bank of Hungary) in its series MNB Occasional Papers with number 2005/43.

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Length: 48 pages
Date of creation: 2005
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:mnb:opaper:2005/43

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Web page: http://www.mnb.hu/
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Related research
Keywords: potential output; output gap; production function; business cycle; filtering.;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions
C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions

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  1. Zoltán M. Jakab & Balázs Világi, 2008. "An estimated DSGE model of the Hungarian economy," MNB Working Papers 2008/9, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (The Central Bank of Hungary). [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-11.


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