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Estimation and Inference in Unstable Nonlinear Least Squares Models

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Author Info
Otilia Boldea
Alastair R. Hall

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Abstract

We are grateful to Mehmet Caner, Manfred Deistler, John Einmahl, Atsushi Inoue and Denise Osborn for their comments, as well as for the comments of participants at the presentation of this paper at the Conference on Breaks and Persistence in Econometrics, London, UK, December 2006, Inference and Tests in Econometrics, Marseille, France, April 2008, European Meetings of the Econometric Society, Milan, Italy, August 2008, NBER-NSF Time Series Conference, Aarhus, Denmark, September 2008, Fed St. Louis Applied Econometrics and Forecasting in Macroeconomics Workshop, St. Louis, October 2008, and at the seminars in Tilburg University, University of Manchester, University of Exeter, University of Cambridge, University of Southampton, Tinbergen Institute, UC Davis and Institute for Advanced Studies, Vienna. The second author acknowledges the support of ESRC grant RES-062-23-1351.

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Paper provided by Economics, The Univeristy of Manchester in its series Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series with number 126.

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Length: 45 pages
Date of creation: 2009
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Handle: RePEc:man:cgbcrp:126

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  2. Hall, Alastair R & Sen, Amit, 1999. "Structural Stability Testing in Models Estimated by Generalized Method of Moments," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 17(3), pages 335-48, July.
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  4. James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2002. "Has the Business Cycle Changed and Why?," NBER Working Papers 9127, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Andrews, Donald W K & Fair, Ray C, 1988. "Inference in Nonlinear Econometric Models with Structural Change," Review of Economic Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 55(4), pages 615-39, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Dick van Dijk & Timo Teräsvirta & Philip Hans Franses, 2002. "Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models - A Survey Of Recent Developments," Econometric Reviews, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 21(1), pages 1-47. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  7. Sowell, Fallaw, 1996. "Optimal Tests for Parameter Instability in the Generalized Method of Moments Framework," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 64(5), pages 1085-1107, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  11. White, Halbert & Domowitz, Ian, 1984. "Nonlinear Regression with Dependent Observations," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 52(1), pages 143-61, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  12. Jushan Bai & Pierre Perron, 2003. "Critical values for multiple structural change tests," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 6(1), pages 72-78, 06. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  13. Eitrheim, Oyvind & Terasvirta, Timo, 1996. "Testing the adequacy of smooth transition autoregressive models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 74(1), pages 59-75, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  14. Lucas, Robert Jr, 1976. "Econometric policy evaluation: A critique," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 1(1), pages 19-46, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  15. Hansen, Bruce E., 2000. "Testing for structural change in conditional models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 97(1), pages 93-115, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  16. Elliott, Graham & Muller, Ulrich K., 2007. "Confidence sets for the date of a single break in linear time series regressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 141(2), pages 1196-1218, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  17. Jushan Bai & Pierre Perron, 1998. "Estimating and Testing Linear Models with Multiple Structural Changes," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 66(1), pages 47-78, January.
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  18. Andrews, Donald W K, 1993. "Tests for Parameter Instability and Structural Change with Unknown Change Point," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 61(4), pages 821-56, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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