IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/metrik/v78y2015i8p919-952.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Empirical likelihood test in a posteriori change-point nonlinear model

Author

Listed:
  • Gabriela Ciuperca
  • Zahraa Salloum

Abstract

In this paper, in order to test whether changes have occurred in a nonlinear parametric regression, we propose a nonparametric method based on the empirical likelihood. Firstly, we test the null hypothesis of no-change against the alternative of one change in the regression parameters. Under null hypothesis, the consistency and the convergence rate of the regression parameter estimators are proved. The asymptotic distribution of the test statistic under the null hypothesis is obtained, which allows to find the asymptotic critical value. On the other hand, we prove that the proposed test statistic has the asymptotic power equal to 1. These theoretical results allows find a simple test statistic, very useful for applications. The epidemic model, a particular model with two change-points under the alternative hypothesis, is also studied. Numerical studies by Monte Carlo simulations show the performance of the proposed test statistic. Copyright Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2015

Suggested Citation

  • Gabriela Ciuperca & Zahraa Salloum, 2015. "Empirical likelihood test in a posteriori change-point nonlinear model," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 78(8), pages 919-952, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:metrik:v:78:y:2015:i:8:p:919-952
    DOI: 10.1007/s00184-015-0534-z
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s00184-015-0534-z
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s00184-015-0534-z?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Natalie Neumeyer & Ingrid Van Keilegom, 2009. "Change‐Point Tests for the Error Distribution in Non‐parametric Regression," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 36(3), pages 518-541, September.
    2. Zou, Changliang & Liu, Yukun & Qin, Peng & Wang, Zhaojun, 2007. "Empirical likelihood ratio test for the change-point problem," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 77(4), pages 374-382, February.
    3. Boldea, Otilia & Hall, Alastair R., 2013. "Estimation and inference in unstable nonlinear least squares models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 172(1), pages 158-167.
    4. Konrad Nosek, 2010. "Schwarz information criterion based tests for a change-point in regression models," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 51(4), pages 915-929, December.
    5. Zhong Guan, 2004. "A semiparametric changepoint model," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 91(4), pages 849-862, December.
    6. Antoch, Jaromír & Gregoire, Gérard & Jarusková, Daniela, 2004. "Detection of structural changes in generalized linear models," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 69(3), pages 315-332, September.
    7. Wei Yu & Cuizhen Niu & Wangli Xu, 2014. "An empirical likelihood inference for the coefficient difference of a two-sample linear model with missing response data," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 77(5), pages 675-693, July.
    8. Jushan Bai & Pierre Perron, 1998. "Estimating and Testing Linear Models with Multiple Structural Changes," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 66(1), pages 47-78, January.
    9. Qu, Zhongjun, 2008. "Testing for structural change in regression quantiles," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 146(1), pages 170-184, September.
    10. Bai, Jushan, 1999. "Likelihood ratio tests for multiple structural changes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 91(2), pages 299-323, August.
    11. Wu, Y., 2008. "Simultaneous change point analysis and variable selection in a regression problem," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 99(9), pages 2154-2171, October.
    12. Xuemin Zi & Changliang Zou & Yukun Liu, 2012. "Two-sample empirical likelihood method for difference between coefficients in linear regression model," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 83-93, February.
    13. Gabriela Ciuperca, 2011. "Penalized least absolute deviations estimation for nonlinear model with change-points," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 52(2), pages 371-390, May.
    14. Ciuperca, Gabriela, 2011. "A general criterion to determine the number of change-points," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 81(8), pages 1267-1275, August.
    15. Lee, Sokbae & Seo, Myung Hwan & Shin, Youngki, 2011. "Testing for Threshold Effects in Regression Models," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 106(493), pages 220-231.
    16. Marie Hušková & Claudia Kirch, 2012. "Bootstrapping sequential change-point tests for linear regression," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 75(5), pages 673-708, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Mo Zhou & Liang Peng & Rongmao Zhang, 2021. "Empirical likelihood test for the application of swqmele in fitting an arma‐garch model," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 42(2), pages 222-239, March.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Venkata Jandhyala & Stergios Fotopoulos & Ian MacNeill & Pengyu Liu, 2013. "Inference for single and multiple change-points in time series," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(4), pages 423-446, July.
    2. Ciuperca, Gabriela, 2011. "A general criterion to determine the number of change-points," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 81(8), pages 1267-1275, August.
    3. Boldea, Otilia & Hall, Alastair R., 2013. "Estimation and inference in unstable nonlinear least squares models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 172(1), pages 158-167.
    4. Alessandro Casini & Pierre Perron, 2018. "Structural Breaks in Time Series," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series WP2019-02, Boston University - Department of Economics.
    5. Otilia Boldea & Alastair R. Hall, 2013. "Testing structural stability in macroeconometric models," Chapters, in: Nigar Hashimzade & Michael A. Thornton (ed.), Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Empirical Macroeconomics, chapter 9, pages 206-228, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    6. Marie Hušková & Zuzana Prášková, 2014. "Comments on: Extensions of some classical methods in change point analysis," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 23(2), pages 265-269, June.
    7. Chung-Ming Kuan & Christos Michalopoulos & Zhijie Xiao, 2017. "Quantile Regression on Quantile Ranges – A Threshold Approach," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(1), pages 99-119, January.
    8. Hansen, Peter Reinhard, 2003. "Structural changes in the cointegrated vector autoregressive model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 114(2), pages 261-295, June.
    9. Alastair R. Hall & Denise R. Osborn & Nikolaos Sakkas, 2017. "The asymptotic behaviour of the residual sum of squares in models with multiple break points," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(6-9), pages 667-698, October.
    10. Juan J. Dolado & Jesús Gonzalo & Laura Mayoral, 2005. "What is What? A Simple Time-Domain Test of Long-memory vs. Structural Breaks," Working Papers 258, Barcelona School of Economics.
    11. Pierre Perron & Yohei Yamamoto & Jing Zhou, 2020. "Testing jointly for structural changes in the error variance and coefficients of a linear regression model," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 11(3), pages 1019-1057, July.
    12. Hervé Le Bihan, 2004. "Tests de ruptures : une application au PIB tendanciel français," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 163(2), pages 133-154.
    13. Antonio E. Noriega & Lorena Medina, 2003. "Quasi purchasing power parity: Structural change in the Mexican peso/us dollar real exchange rate," Estudios Económicos, El Colegio de México, Centro de Estudios Económicos, vol. 18(2), pages 227-236.
    14. De Santis, Paola & Drago, Carlo, 2014. "Asimmetria del rischio sistematico dei titoli immobiliari americani: nuove evidenze econometriche [Systematic Risk Asymmetry of the American Real Estate Securities: Some New Econometric Evidence]," MPRA Paper 59381, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Mohitosh Kejriwal, 2020. "A Robust Sequential Procedure for Estimating the Number of Structural Changes in Persistence," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 82(3), pages 669-685, June.
    16. Chaney, Eric, 2008. "Assessing pacification policy in Iraq: Evidence from Iraqi financial markets," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 1-16, March.
    17. Davis, Richard A. & Hancock, Stacey A. & Yao, Yi-Ching, 2016. "On consistency of minimum description length model selection for piecewise autoregressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 194(2), pages 360-368.
    18. Yunmi Kim & Lijuan Huo & Tae-Hwan Kim, 2020. "Dealing with Markov-Switching Parameters in Quantile Regression Models," Working papers 2020rwp-166, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute.
    19. Kurozumi, Eiji & Tuvaandorj, Purevdorj, 2011. "Model selection criteria in multivariate models with multiple structural changes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 164(2), pages 218-238, October.
    20. Oka, Tatsushi & Perron, Pierre, 2018. "Testing for common breaks in a multiple equations system," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 204(1), pages 66-85.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:metrik:v:78:y:2015:i:8:p:919-952. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.