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Match Bias from Earnings Imputation in the Current Population Survey: The Case of Imperfect Matching

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Author Info
Christopher R. Bollinger () (University of Kentucky)
Barry T. Hirsch () (Trinity University and IZA Bonn)

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Abstract

This paper examines alternative forms of match bias arising from earnings imputation. Wage equation parameters are estimated based on mixed samples of workers who do and do not report earnings, the latter group being assigned earnings of donors who share some but not all the attributes of the recipients. Regressions that include attributes not used as imputation match criteria (e.g., union status) are severely biased. Related forms of match bias arise with respect to attributes used as match criteria, but matched imperfectly. For example, an imperfect match on schooling creates bias that flattens estimated earnings profiles within low, middle, and high education groups, while creating large jumps in returns across groups. The same pattern arises in wage-age profiles. The paper provides a general analytic expression to correct match bias in regression coefficients under the assumption of conditional mean missing at random. The full sample correction approach is compared to the alternative of omitting imputed earners from the sample, with and without reweighting. Additional problems considered are bias in longitudinal analysis and the presence of dated donors.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) in its series IZA Discussion Papers with number 1846.

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Length: 47 pages
Date of creation: Nov 2005
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Handle: RePEc:iza:izadps:dp1846

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Related research
Keywords: match bias imputation CPS wage equations measurement error

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
J31 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - Wage Level and Structure; Wage Differentials
C81 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - Microeconomic Data
C10 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - General

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Horowitz, Joel & Manski, Charles, 1997. "Nonparametric Analysis of Randomized Experiments With Missing Covariate and Outcome Data," Working Papers 97-16, University of Iowa, Department of Economics.
  2. Clark, Melissa A. & Jaeger, David A., 2002. "Natives, the Foreign-Born and High School Equivalents: New Evidence on the Returns to the GED," IZA Discussion Papers 477, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Aigner, Dennis J., 1973. "Regression with a binary independent variable subject to errors of observation," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 1(1), pages 49-59, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Hirsch, Barry T., 2004. "Why Do Part-Time Workers Earn Less? The Role of Worker and Job Skills," IZA Discussion Papers 1261, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  5. Lillard, Lee & Smith, James P & Welch, Finis, 1986. "What Do We Really Know about Wages? The Importance of Nonreporting and Census Imputation," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 94(3), pages 489-506, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Molinari, Francesca, 2005. "Missing Treatments," Working Papers 05-11, Cornell University, Center for Analytic Economics. [Downloadable!]
  7. Murphy, Kevin M & Welch, Finis, 1990. "Empirical Age-Earnings Profiles," Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 8(2), pages 202-29, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Barry T. Hirsch & Edward J. Schumacher, 2004. "Match Bias in Wage Gap Estimates Due to Earnings Imputation," Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 22(3), pages 585-614, July. [Downloadable!]
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  9. Card, David, 1996. "The Effect of Unions on the Structure of Wages: A Longitudinal Analysis," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 64(4), pages 957-79, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  10. repec:att:wimass:199525 is not listed on IDEAS
  11. repec:fth:prinin:462 is not listed on IDEAS
  12. Bollinger, Christopher R., 1996. "Bounding mean regressions when a binary regressor is mismeasured," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 73(2), pages 387-399, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  13. Horowitz, J.L. & Manski, C.F., 1995. "Censoring of Outcomes and Regressors Due to Survey Nonresponse: Identification and estimation Using Weights and Imputations," Working Papers 95-12, University of Iowa, Department of Economics.
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Cited by:
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  1. Kari Hämäläinen & Roope Uusitalo & Vuori & Jukka, 2008. "Varying Biases in the Matching Estimates: Evidence from Two Randomized Job Search Training Experiments," VATT Discussion Papers 438, Government Institute for Economic Research (VATT). [Downloadable!]
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