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Was falling fertility in the communist Poland driven by changes in women’s education?

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  • Zuzanna Brzozowska

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    (Institute of Statistics and Demography, Warsaw School of Economics)

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    Abstract

    During the communist period, Poland experienced an educational revolution: millions of people moved up from primary to lower- und upper-secondary education. At the same time, completed fertility dropped substantially from 2.48 in the 1932 cohort to 2.22 for women born in 1962. This article studies the relationship between education and completed fertility among women born between 1932 and 1962 and tries to assess to what extent the fertility decline was connected to changes in women’s educational structure. For the analyses I use data from the Fertility Survey 2002 that accompanied the Polish population census. Applying the Cho and Retherford’s decomposition I decompose the change in the cohort-completed fertility rate into three terms that account for changes in: female educational structure, standardised completed fertility and standardised age-specific fertility. The results suggest that the decline in completed fertility was entirely due to changes in the educational structure. The standardised fertility actually increased, especially among women aged between 20 and 29.

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    File URL: http://kolegia.sgh.waw.pl/pl/KAE/struktura/ISiD/publikacje/Documents/Working_Paper/ISiD_WP_27_2013.pdf
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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by Institute of Statistics and Demography, Warsaw School of Economics in its series Working Papers with number 54.

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    Length: 24 pages
    Date of creation: 2013
    Date of revision:
    Handle: RePEc:isd:wpaper:54

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    Keywords: educational differences in fertility; fertility in Poland; decomposition;

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    1. Cuestas, Juan C. & Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Staehr, Karsten, 2011. "A further investigation of unemployment persistence in European transition economies," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 514-532.
    2. John Haltiwanger & Hartmut Lehmann & Katherine Terrell, 2003. "Job Creation and Job Destruction in Transition Countries," The Economics of Transition, The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, vol. 11(2), pages 205-219, June.
    3. Jennifer C. Smith, 2011. "The Ins and Outs of UK Unemployment," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 121(552), pages 402-444, 05.
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    5. Pierre Cahuc & André Zylberberg, 2004. "Labor Economics," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 026203316x, January.
    6. Feldmann, Horst, 2009. "The unemployment effects of labor regulation around the world," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 76-90, March.
    7. Lazear, Edward P, 1990. "Job Security Provisions and Employment," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 105(3), pages 699-726, August.
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