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When do stock futures dominate price discovery

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  • Nidhi Aggarwal

    (Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research)

  • Susan Thomas

    ()
    (Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research)

Abstract

Stock futures offer leveraged positions and are expected to attract informed traders. However, many researchers have found that the information share of the stock futures is surprisingly small; the equity spot market appears to play a large role in price discovery. In this paper, we investigate this phenomenon and offer two findings. First, liquidity of the stock futures plays a major role in influencing price discovery. The securities where the spot market plays a major role tend to be those with illiquid stock futures. The enhanced transactions costs appear to counterbalance the gains from leveraged trading. In addition, when large price movements take place, the stock futures appear to play a much more important role. These findings help fill out our understanding of the role of the equity spot and single stock futures markets in price discovery.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India in its series Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers with number 2011-016.

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Length: 40 pages
Date of creation: Aug 2011
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:ind:igiwpp:2011-016

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Keywords: price discovery; single stock futures; leverage trading; liquidity effects;

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  1. Gonzalo, Jesus & Granger, Clive W J, 1995. "Estimation of Common Long-Memory Components in Cointegrated Systems," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 13(1), pages 27-35, January.
  2. Sapp, Stephen G., 2002. "Price Leadership in the Spot Foreign Exchange Market," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 37(03), pages 425-448, September.
  3. Sugato Chakravarty & Huseyin Gulen & Stewart Mayhew, 2004. "Informed Trading in Stock and Option Markets," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 59(3), pages 1235-1258, 06.
  4. Stoll, Hans R. & Whaley, Robert E., 1990. "The Dynamics of Stock Index and Stock Index Futures Returns," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(04), pages 441-468, December.
  5. Susan Thomas, 2010. "Call auctions: A Solution to some difficulties in Indian finance," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers 2010-006, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India.
  6. Bhattacharya, Mihir, 1987. "Price Changes of Related Securities: The Case of Call Options and Stocks," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 22(01), pages 1-15, March.
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Cited by:
  1. repec:bor:wpaper:1307 is not listed on IDEAS
  2. Evren Arik & Elif Mutlu, 2012. "Interaction between Single Stock Futures and the Underlying Securities: A Cross-Country Analysis," Working Paper 07, Research and Business Development Department, Borsa Istanbul.

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