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Corporate Investment in Emerging Markets: Financing vs. Real Options Channel

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  • Delong Li
  • Mr. Nicolas E Magud
  • Mr. Fabian Valencia

Abstract

We examine how firm and country heterogeneity shape the response of corporate investment in emerging markets to changes in global interest rates and volatility. We test for the presence of (i) a financing channel originating from changes in the costs of external borrowing and (ii) a real options channel—reflecting firms’ option values to delay investment. We find evidence of the coexistence of both channels. Financially weaker firms reduce investment by more in response to higher interest rates or volatility, while firms with stronger balance sheets become less willing to invest after volatility spikes. Furthermore, the intensity of the financing channel diminishes for firms in countries with lower public debt, higher foreign reserves, or deeper financial markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Delong Li & Mr. Nicolas E Magud & Mr. Fabian Valencia, 2015. "Corporate Investment in Emerging Markets: Financing vs. Real Options Channel," IMF Working Papers 2015/285, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2015/285
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    2. José María Serena & Ricardo Sousa, 2017. "Does exchange rate depreciation have contractionary effects on firm-level investment?," BIS Working Papers 624, Bank for International Settlements.
    3. Ohnsorge, Franziska & Kose, M. Ayhan, 2023. "Slowing Growth: More Than a Rough Patch," CEPR Discussion Papers 18226, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    4. Nicolas E. Magud & Sebastian Sosa, 2017. "Corporate Investment in Emerging Markets: The Role of Commodity Prices," Economía Journal, The Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association - LACEA, vol. 0(Fall 2017), pages 157-195, November.
    5. Alam, Ashraful & Uddin, Moshfique & Yazdifar, Hassan, 2019. "Institutional determinants of R&D investment: Evidence from emerging markets," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 34-44.
    6. Mr. Ivo Krznar & Mr. Troy D Matheson, 2018. "Investment in Brazil: From Crisis to Recovery," IMF Working Papers 2018/006, International Monetary Fund.
    7. Strauss, Ilan & Yang, Jangho, 2021. "Slowing investment rates in developing economies: Evidence from a Bayesian hierarchical model," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).

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