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Fiscal Devaluation in a Monetary Union

Author

Listed:
  • Philipp Engler
  • Mr. Giovanni Ganelli
  • Juha Tervala
  • Simon Voigts

Abstract

Using a DSGE model calibrated to the euro area, we analyze the international effects of a fiscal devaluation (FD) implemented as a revenue-neutral shift from employer's social contributions to the Value Added Tax. We find that a FD in ‘Southern European countries’ has a strong positive effect on output, but mild effects on the trade balance and the real exchange rate. Since the benefits of a FD are small relative to the divergence in competitiveness, it is best addressed through structural reforms.

Suggested Citation

  • Philipp Engler & Mr. Giovanni Ganelli & Juha Tervala & Simon Voigts, 2014. "Fiscal Devaluation in a Monetary Union," IMF Working Papers 2014/201, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2014/201
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    WP; Southern European countries; expenditure switching; Fiscal devaluation; fiscal policy; euro area; currency union; current account; output effect; Southern European countries of the Southern European countries; trade balance effect; open economy; expenditure switching effect; households in Southern European countries; imperfect competition; fiscal devaluation in Southern European countries; deficit in Southern European countries; devaluation in Southern European countries; Value-added tax; Trade balance; Consumption; Personal income tax; Southern Europe;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements

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