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Brazil’s Long-Term Growth Performance—Trying to Explain the Puzzle

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  • Ricardo Adrogué
  • Mr. Martin D. Cerisola
  • Mr. Gaston Gelos

Abstract

This paper assesses Brazil's growth performance from a long-term perspective, using crosscountry and panel estimation techniques, building on the vast empirical literature on growth. The empirical evidence presented in this paper confirms that macroeconomic stability and several reforms have helped raise per capita growth in Brazil since the mid-1990s. The results also show that some long-standing structural weaknesses continue to weigh negatively on per capita growth. Reducing the high level of government consumption would help lower the overall consumption level in the economy and lower its intertemporal price-the real interest rate-thus helping to foster investment and growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Ricardo Adrogué & Mr. Martin D. Cerisola & Mr. Gaston Gelos, 2006. "Brazil’s Long-Term Growth Performance—Trying to Explain the Puzzle," IMF Working Papers 2006/282, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2006/282
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    Cited by:

    1. Laura Policardo & Lionello F. Punzo & Edgar J. Sánchez Carrera, 2016. "Brazil and China: Two Routes of Economic Development?," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 20(3), pages 651-669, August.
    2. Filiztekin, Alpay & Altug, Sumru & Pamuk, Sevket, 2007. "The Sources of Long-term Economic Growth for Turkey, 1880-2005," CEPR Discussion Papers 6463, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    3. Manoel Bittencourt, 2011. "Is Copacabana Still the ‘Little Princess of the Sea’?," CESifo Forum, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 12(01), pages 11-16, March.
    4. Mr. Jeromin Zettelmeyer, 2006. "Growth and Reforms in Latin America: A Survey of Facts and Arguments," IMF Working Papers 2006/210, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Hausmann, Ricardo, 2008. "Is Search of the Chains That Hold Brazil Back," Working Paper Series rwp08-061, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government.
    6. Alston, Lee J. & Mueller, Bernardo & Melo, Marcus André & Pereira, Carlos, 2010. "The Political Economy of Productivity in Brazil," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 1123, Inter-American Development Bank.
    7. Mr. Bennett W Sutton & Mrs. Genevieve M Lindow & Maria Isabel Serra & Mr. Gustavo Ramirez & Maria Fernanda Pazmino, 2006. "Regional Convergence in Latin America," IMF Working Papers 2006/125, International Monetary Fund.
    8. Nader Nazmi & Julio Revilla, 2011. "Brazil’s growth performance: a comparative perspective to the Asian giants," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 44(1), pages 7-24, April.
    9. Manoel Bittencourt, 2011. "Is Copacabana Still the ‘Little Princess of the Sea’?," CESifo Forum, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 12(1), pages 11-16, March.

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