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The Jordanian Stock Market—Should You Invest in It for Risk Diversification or Performance?

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  • Mr. Martin Petri
  • Tahsin Saadi Sedik

Abstract

We analyze the performance of the Amman Stock Exchange (ASE) and its integration with other markets. Using cointegration techniques, we find that the ASE and other Arab stock markets are cointegrated, which implies little long-run risk diversification. However, there is no cointegrating relationship between the ASE and other emerging or developed stock markets. Two of the main regional stock markets-Kuwait and Saudi Arabia-Grangercause the Jordanian stock market. The paper finds that there may have been some overvaluation at end-2005, but that the market correction in early 2006 and strong recent earnings growth have reduced overvaluation concerns.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Martin Petri & Tahsin Saadi Sedik, 2006. "The Jordanian Stock Market—Should You Invest in It for Risk Diversification or Performance?," IMF Working Papers 2006/187, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2006/187
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    Cited by:

    1. Abdul Aziz Farid Saymeh & Marwan Mohammad Abu Orabi, 2014. "Key Fundamental Factors and Long-run Price Changes in Emerging Equity Markets: A Case of ASE-Jordan," International Journal of Empirical Finance, Research Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 3(4), pages 175-186.
    2. Amira Akl Ahmed, 2014. "Evolving and relative efficiency of MENA stock markets: evidence from rolling joint variance ratio tests," Ensayos Revista de Economia, Universidad Autonoma de Nuevo Leon, Facultad de Economia, vol. 0(1), pages 91-126, May.
    3. Billmeier, Andreas & Massa, Isabella, 2008. "Go long or short in pyramids? News from the Egyptian stock market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 17(5), pages 949-970, December.
    4. George Amfo-Antiri & Edward Quansah, 2017. "Cointegration of Stock Prices and Domestic Portfolio Diversification Opportunities: Evidence from the Ghana Stock Exchange," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 4(5), pages 78-93, September.
    5. Ujjal Protim Dutta & Partha Pratim Sengupta, 2018. "Remittances and Real Effective Exchange Rate," South Asia Economic Journal, Institute of Policy Studies of Sri Lanka, vol. 19(1), pages 124-136, March.
    6. Mr. Martin Petri & Tahsin Saadi Sedik, 2006. "To Smooth or Not to Smooth—The Impact of Grants and Remittances on the Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate in Jordan," IMF Working Papers 2006/257, International Monetary Fund.
    7. Biplab Bhattacharjee & Muhammad Shafi & Animesh Acharjee, 2017. "Investigating the Evolution of Linkage Dynamics among Equity Markets Using Network Models and Measures: The Case of Asian Equity Market Integration," Data, MDPI, vol. 2(4), pages 1-28, December.
    8. Billmeier, Andreas & Massa, Isabella, 2009. "What drives stock market development in emerging markets--institutions, remittances, or natural resources?," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 10(1), pages 23-35, March.
    9. Mr. Andreas Billmeier & Miss Isabella Massa, 2007. "What Drives Stock Market Development in the Middle East and Central Asia—Institutions, Remittances, or Natural Resources?," IMF Working Papers 2007/157, International Monetary Fund.

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